Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the analysis of CSX stock, it is currently facing headwinds with a bearish technical outlook and mixed fundamental signals. It may be prudent to hold off on buying until clearer recovery signs emerge.

Price Prediction for CSX Stock in 2025

The price prediction for CSX stock in 2025 is $38 per share, driven by analyst consensus and improving fundamentals.

CSX is currently trading below its mean price target of $36.48, with a potential upside of 13.18% from its current price of $29.82. Analysts expect the stock to benefit from its strong dividend yield and improving operational efficiency, despite near-term headwinds like coal revenue declines and macroeconomic challenges.

The S1 support level for CSX Stock is $29.17 ,The R1 resistant level for CSX Stock is $30.21.

As of the end of day on 2025-04-01, the price of CSX Stock was $29.67.

The target price for CSX Stock according to analyst rating is 36.05, with the highest price target at 39.00 and the lowest at 28.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on CSX Stock overall.

The market cap of CSX is $55.7B.

Analysis and Insights

Valuation Metrics:

CSX's current valuation metrics indicate a mixed outlook. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.65 (Q3 2024) and 18.07 (Q4 2024) suggests a premium compared to industry averages, potentially signaling overvaluation. The EV/EBITDA ratio of 11.79 and 11.39 further supports this view, as it is slightly above the sector's typical range. However, the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 4.6 and 4.31, along with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 5.15 and 4.9, aligns with expectations for a company with stable cash flows. The dividend yield of 1.39% and 1.49% provides moderate income support.

Recent Performance and Analyst Sentiment:

CSX's stock has underperformed its peers, trading 20.6% below its 52-week high and experiencing an 18.3% decline over the past year. Despite a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating, analysts have lowered price targets following disappointing Q4 2024 earnings, which missed expectations and showed a 4% revenue decline. However, the stock's valuation appears reasonable when considering normalized earnings, though macroeconomic headwinds and coal price declines pose risks.

Conclusion:

While CSX exhibits strong fundamentals and cash returns, its current valuation metrics and recent underperformance suggest potential overvaluation. Investors should exercise caution and consider waiting for a price correction or improved earnings before investing.

CSX Corp. is a transportation company. The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services, including traditional rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services, such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. It provides rail, intermodal and rail-to-truck transload services and solutions to customers across a broad array of markets, including energy, industrial, construction, agricultural, and consumer products. Through its subsidiary, CSX Transportation, Inc. (CSXT), it provides a link to the transportation supply chain through its approximately 20,000-route mile rail network and serves major population centers in 26 states east of the Mississippi River, the District of Columbia and the Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec. CSXT is also engaged in real estate sales, leasing, acquisition and management and development activities. It serves merchandise, intermodal, coal, and trucking businesses.

Price Prediction for CSX Stock in 2030

Based on current trends and analysis, CSX stock is predicted to reach $42 per share by 2030. This projection considers the company's strong dividend yield, improving operational efficiency, and potential long-term growth in the rail transportation sector. However, this target is contingent on the company overcoming current challenges, such as coal revenue declines and operational disruptions.

CSX has a total of 23000 employees.