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CSX Earnings

CSX Corp
$
30.820
+0.180(+0.590%)
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of CSX Corp(CSX) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of CSX Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q12025-04-16After Hours0.370.34-8.113.45B3.42B-0.67+1.21+0.88
FY2024Q42025-01-23After Hours0.430.42-2.333.56B3.54B-0.57-2.91-2.41
FY2024Q32024-10-16After Hours0.480.46-4.173.68B3.62B-1.53-6.71-5.30
FY2024Q22024-08-05-0.480.49+2.083.70B3.70B-0.01-3.17-0.23
FY2024Q12024-04-17-0.450.46+2.223.67B3.68B+0.41-1.95-0.34
FY2023Q42024-01-24-0.440.45+2.273.63B3.68B+1.26-1.43+2.75
-2023-04-20-0.420.48+14.29---+0.82-1.37
-2023-01-25-0.470.49+4.26----2.54-2.95
-2022-10-20-0.490.52+6.12----3.01+3.04
-2022-07-20-0.470.50+6.38---+0.03+4.85

CSX Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, CSX Corp reported performance for FY2025Q1, announced on 2025-04-16. The company achieved an EPS of 0.34, compared to analyst estimates of 0.37 by -8.11% . Revenue for the quarter reached 3.42B compared to expectations of 3.45B by -0.67% .
The stock price reacted with a 1.21% one-day change and a 0.88% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in CSX Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

CSX Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, CSX Corp(CSX) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q2 project quarter revenue of 3.58B and an EPS of 0.42.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -3.06%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -9.88%. For the upcoming Q2 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -3.37% . These revisions correlate with a -3.96% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in CSX Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between CSX's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-3.06%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-9.88%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q2 2025
Revise Downward
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-3.37%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-3.96%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:14.26B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.66
Stock Price30.82

CSX Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

CSX Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-16,After Hours):
EPS: 0.34 (Actual) vs.0.37 (Estimate) (-8.11%)
Revenue: 3.42B (Actual) vs. 3.45B (Estimate) (-0.67%)
Price Reaction: 1.21%(1-Day), 0.88%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-01-23,After Hours):
EPS: 0.42 (Actual) vs.0.43 (Estimate) (-2.33%)
Revenue: 3.54B (Actual) vs. 3.56B (Estimate) (-0.57%)
Price Reaction: -2.91%(1-Day), -2.41%(5-Day)
FY2024Q3 (2024-10-16,After Hours):
EPS: 0.46 (Actual) vs.0.48 (Estimate) (-4.17%)
Revenue: 3.62B (Actual) vs. 3.68B (Estimate) (-1.53%)
Price Reaction: -6.71%(1-Day), -5.30%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CSX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CSX sees a +1.01% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.22% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.20%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in MAR/2025, the stock changed 1.21% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 2.78% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

CSX Corp (CSX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-18
The earnings call reflects several negative factors: a 7% YoY revenue decline, a 24% drop in EPS, and increased expenses due to operational challenges. Despite a commitment to shareholder returns and some volume growth, the company faces macro uncertainties, regulatory issues, and commodity price declines. The Q&A session revealed unclear management responses and concerns about operational improvements. Although there is potential for improvement, the near-term outlook is clouded by these challenges, leading to a negative sentiment for the stock price over the next two weeks.
CSX Corp (CSX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-16
The earnings call highlights several negative factors: a 7% revenue decline, increased expenses, and significant risks in coal and intermodal businesses. Despite some positive aspects like a shareholder return plan and slight intermodal volume growth, the overall sentiment is negative due to ongoing operational challenges, macroeconomic uncertainties, and unclear management responses in the Q&A. The company's inability to provide clear guidance or solutions exacerbates concerns, leading to a likely negative stock price movement.
Earnings call transcript: CSX Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast, stock dips
Neutral
2025-01-23
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Strong EPS growth (12%), improved operating margin (37.4%), and solid free cash flow are positive indicators. However, the decline in coal revenue, increased labor costs, and Q4 headwinds due to fuel and coal impact are concerning. The Q&A reveals management's cautious optimism but lacks clarity on labor negotiations and service recovery. Overall, the mixed guidance and modest revenue growth expectations suggest a neutral stock price movement.
CSX Corporation (CSX) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-17
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance shows slight growth in revenue and EPS, with improved operating margins. However, declines in coal and intermodal revenue, coupled with increased labor costs and mixed market conditions, temper optimism. The Q&A reveals management's evasiveness on revenue and margin specifics, which could raise concerns. Despite strong shareholder returns and a positive merchandise revenue outlook, uncertainty in coal and intermodal markets and potential headwinds in Q4 suggest a neutral stock price movement in the near term.
CSX Corporation (CSX) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-06
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: stable financial performance with strong operational efficiency, but concerns over coal revenue and economic factors. The Q&A section indicates uncertainty around labor disruptions and vague guidance on margin improvements. Despite positive shareholder returns and intermodal growth, these are offset by regulatory risks and supply chain issues. Given the flat revenue and EPS, and lack of clear guidance, the stock is likely to remain neutral in the short term.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of CSX’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q1?

CSX reported its FY2025Q1 earnings on 2025-04-16, showcasing a revenue of 3.42B against an estimate of 3.45B, resulting in a -0.67% surprise. The EPS was 0.34, surpassing the expected 0.37 by -8.11% . The stock experienced a 1.21% price change on the earnings day and a 0.88% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did CSX’s stock price react after the FY2025Q1 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for CSX for 2025/Q2?

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How does CSX’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from CSX’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in CSX Corp (CSX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary?