CSX Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how CSX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CSX sees a +0.13% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.26% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.00%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
CSX Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
3.54B
-3.83%
-2.21%
Gross Margin
59.17%
-1.38%
-4.92%
Operating Margin
34.22%
-4.01%
-8.60%
Net Margin
20.71%
-14.00%
-16.15%
EPS
0.38
-15.56%
-17.39%
No Data Available
CSX Earnings Analysis
CSX Corp Corporation (CSX.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Volume Growth Analysis: Total volume grew by 3% year-over-year, driven by strong performance in the merchandise business, which also saw a 3% increase in volume.
Merchandise Revenue Increase: Merchandise revenue increased by 6% compared to last year, supported by favorable pricing and volume growth.
Operating Margin Improvement: Operating margin improved by 180 basis points to 37.4%, reflecting strong year-over-year expansion and effective cost management.
Earnings Growth Performance: Earnings per share rose by 12%, demonstrating solid business performance and a commitment to capital returns.
Strong Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow remained robust at over $2.2 billion, with over $1.9 billion returned to shareholders year-to-date, highlighting a balanced approach to capital allocation.
Negative
Stagnant Revenue Growth: Total revenue increased by only 1% year-over-year, primarily impacted by lower coal revenue and declines in fuel recovery, indicating a stagnation in growth despite operational efforts.
Coal Revenue Decline: Coal revenue declined by 7% with a 2% decrease in volume, driven by a 12% drop in domestic tonnage, reflecting ongoing challenges in the coal market.
Intermodal Revenue Decline: Intermodal revenue decreased by 2% year-over-year, with total intermodal revenue per unit (RPU) down 5%, highlighting pricing pressures and a shift in market dynamics.
Storm Impact on Revenue: Hurricane Helene impacted revenue by $10 million to $15 million in Q3, with estimated Q4 storm-related impacts expected to reach around $50 million, indicating significant operational disruptions and financial strain.
Operating Margin Decline: Operating margin is expected to decrease in Q4 due to lower revenue and additional expenses from hurricane recovery efforts, suggesting a challenging environment for maintaining profitability.
CSX FAQs
How does CSX typically perform around its earnings report dates?
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CSX Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: CSX Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast, stock dips
CSX.O
2.83%Positive
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Strong EPS growth (12%), improved operating margin (37.4%), and solid free cash flow are positive indicators. However, the decline in coal revenue, increased labor costs, and Q4 headwinds due to fuel and coal impact are concerning. The Q&A reveals management's cautious optimism but lacks clarity on labor negotiations and service recovery. Overall, the mixed guidance and modest revenue growth expectations suggest a neutral stock price movement.