COTY Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how COTY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, COTY sees a +2.65% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.35% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.78%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
COTY Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
1.67B
1.83%
22.60%
Gross Margin
62.61%
3.45%
3.16%
Operating Margin
14.27%
4.08%
436.47%
Net Margin
5.43%
775.81%
-177.46%
EPS
0.09
--
-175.00%
No Data Available
COTY Earnings Analysis
COTY INC Corporation (COTY.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Net Revenue Growth: Coty's first quarter net revenue grew 4.5% like-for-like, supported by solid growth in prestige fragrance, mass fragrance, and mass skin care.
Prestige Fragrance Growth: The prestige fragrance category remains robust with recent category growth around 10%.
Gross Margin Improvement: Coty's adjusted gross margin grew by 200 basis points to 65.5%, driven by the benefit from premiumization, pricing actions, and continued supply chain productivity.
EPS Growth Year-Over-Year: Coty's adjusted diluted EPS excluding the equity swap was $0.18 in Q1, growing 20% year-over-year.
A&C Investment Growth: Coty's A&C investments represented approximately 25% of sales, increasing by 40 basis points from the prior year as the company continues to invest behind icons and innovations.
Negative
Revenue Growth Slowdown: Coty's Q1 fiscal 2025 revenue growth was only 4.5% like-for-like, indicating a slowdown compared to previous quarters.
Adjusted EBITDA Stability: The adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was roughly flat year-over-year at $360 million, reflecting lower than anticipated order patterns in the second half of the quarter.
Net Debt and Leverage Increase: Coty's net debt at the end of Q1 was approximately $3.7 billion, with leverage slightly up from the end of fiscal 2024, indicating increased financial pressure.
Consistent Growth Expectations: The company expects like-for-like growth in the second half of fiscal 2025 to be relatively consistent at approximately 3% to 4%, suggesting limited growth potential.
Earnings Per Share Guidance: Coty's adjusted diluted EPS for fiscal 2025 is expected to be at the lower end of the previous guidance range of $0.54 to $0.57, reflecting ongoing challenges.
COTY FAQs
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COTY Earning Call Sentiment
Coty Inc. (COTY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
COTY.N
1.06%Positive
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook with strong financial metrics but weak guidance. Despite double-digit growth in key areas and strategic initiatives, cautious retailer behavior, supply chain challenges, and regulatory issues pose risks. The share buyback commitment is positive, but the overall sentiment is tempered by market competition and economic headwinds. The sentiment from the Q&A section is unclear, suggesting no major changes to the initial assessment. Given these factors, a neutral stock price movement is expected over the next two weeks.
