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NFG Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of National Fuel Gas Co(NFG) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of National Fuel Gas Co earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q42025-11-05After Hours1.081.22+12.96513.48M456.41M-11.12-1.78+0.86
FY2025Q32025-07-30After Hours1.501.64+9.33591.87M531.83M-10.14-1.73-1.77
FY2025Q22025-04-30After Hours2.172.39+10.14774.56M729.95M-5.76+3.15+6.90
FY2025Q12025-01-29After Hours1.571.66+5.73637.21M549.48M-13.77+2.72+6.00
FY2024Q32024-07-31-0.920.99+7.61536.36M417.44M-22.17+0.19-0.99
FY2024Q22024-05-01-1.411.79+26.95767.33M629.94M-17.91-0.30+5.05
FY2024Q12024-02-07-1.321.46+10.61664.57M525.36M-20.95-0.67+1.97
FY2023Q42023-11-01-0.830.78-6.02474.96M368.95M-22.32+1.43+1.94
FY2023Q32023-08-02-0.901.01+12.22510.60M428.70M-16.04+0.25+3.02
-2023-05-03-1.551.54-0.65---+1.14+3.85
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NFG Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, National Fuel Gas Co reported performance for FY2025Q4, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of 1.22, compared to analyst estimates of 1.08 by 12.96% . Revenue for the quarter reached 456.41M compared to expectations of 513.48M by -11.12% .
The stock price reacted with a -1.78% one-day change and a 0.86% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in National Fuel Gas Co growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

NFG Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, National Fuel Gas Co(NFG) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q1 project quarter revenue of 653.83M and an EPS of 2.01.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Downward by -4.58%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -5.1%. For the upcoming Q1 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -6.17% . These revisions correlate with a -5.03% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in National Fuel Gas Co long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between NFG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
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-4.58%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
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-5.1%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q1 2026
Revise Downward
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-6.17%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-5.03%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2026
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2026:2.72B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2026:8.02
—
Stock Price82.21
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NFG Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

National Fuel Gas Co revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q4 (2025-11-05,After Hours):
EPS: 1.22 (Actual) vs.1.08 (Estimate) (12.96%)
Revenue: 456.41M (Actual) vs. 513.48M (Estimate) (-11.12%)
Price Reaction: -1.78%(1-Day), 0.86%(5-Day)
FY2025Q3 (2025-07-30,After Hours):
EPS: 1.64 (Actual) vs.1.50 (Estimate) (9.33%)
Revenue: 531.83M (Actual) vs. 591.87M (Estimate) (-10.14%)
Price Reaction: -1.73%(1-Day), -1.77%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-04-30,After Hours):
EPS: 2.39 (Actual) vs.2.17 (Estimate) (10.14%)
Revenue: 729.95M (Actual) vs. 774.56M (Estimate) (-5.76%)
Price Reaction: 3.15%(1-Day), 6.90%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how NFG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NFG sees a +1.01% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.43% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.10%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -1.78% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 0.86% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-06
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, including a 21% production increase, 9% higher realized prices, and a 38% rise in EPS. Optimistic guidance for fiscal 2026 and strategic pipeline projects bolster future growth prospects. The dividend increase and paused buyback program reflect shareholder value focus. Despite some uncertainties in the Q&A, the overall sentiment is bolstered by record high production and efficient capital spending, indicating a strong positive outlook.
National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-31
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong production growth, improved cash operating costs, and effective capital management. While there are some concerns about capital allocation and cash taxes, the overall sentiment is positive due to optimistic EPS and free cash flow projections, a resumption of the share buyback plan, and strategic positioning in market expansions. The company's hedging strategies and well productivity gains further support a positive outlook, likely resulting in a stock price increase in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with earnings and EPS growth, improved natural gas prices, and positive adjusted operating results. Despite a large debt issuance, free cash flow prospects are promising. The Q&A section shows management's commitment to shareholder returns and strategic growth, though some responses lacked clarity. The upward revision of earnings guidance and production forecasts, along with expected margin improvements, support a positive sentiment. The absence of the market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a 'Positive' prediction for stock price movement.
National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 30% earnings increase and a 32% rise in adjusted operating results. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company maintains a positive outlook with increased production guidance and improved capital efficiency. The Q&A section raised concerns about infrastructure hurdles and buyback delays, but overall sentiment remains positive due to optimistic guidance and strong financial metrics. The absence of market cap data suggests a moderate positive impact, predicting a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-01-31
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Positive aspects include strong financial performance, increased production guidance, and a robust share buyback program. However, concerns arise from significant upcoming debt maturities, competitive pressures in securing contracts, and management's vague responses in the Q&A, particularly regarding data center discussions and M&A plans. The lack of clear guidance on these issues tempers the overall sentiment, resulting in a neutral outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-07
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance shows stable operating results and a strong hedge gain, but challenges include increased operating costs and impairments. The shareholder return plan is positive with dividend increases and buybacks. However, regulatory challenges and natural gas price volatility are concerns. The Q&A reveals uncertainties in regulatory impacts and operational costs. Overall, the call's positive aspects are balanced by significant risks and uncertainties, leading to a neutral stock price prediction over the next two weeks.
National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-01
The earnings call highlights several positive factors: a dividend increase, a share buyback program, and improved production guidance for fiscal 2025. Despite a GAAP loss due to an impairment charge, adjusted earnings are strong, and there is a significant hedge book gain. The Q&A session reflects positive operational efficiencies and cost management. However, the lack of clarity on industry challenges and hedging strategy concerns tempers the sentiment slightly. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh negatives, leading to a positive sentiment rating.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of NFG’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q4?

NFG reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 456.41M against an estimate of 513.48M, resulting in a -11.12% surprise. The EPS was 1.22, surpassing the expected 1.08 by 12.96% . The stock experienced a -1.78% price change on the earnings day and a 0.86% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did NFG’s stock price react after the FY2025Q4 earnings release?

Following NFG’s FY2025Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by -1.78% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.86% change. Historically, NFG’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.01% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.43% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for NFG for 2026/Q1?

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate NFG’s annual revenue to reach 653.83M, while the EPS is projected at 2.01. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -4.58% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -6.17% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does NFG’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between NFG’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Downward by -4.58%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -6.17% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from NFG’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, NFG’s stock price typically moves by +1.01% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.43% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 2.01 and revenue of 653.83M.
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What is the sentiment in National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, including a 21% production increase, 9% higher realized prices, and a 38% rise in EPS. Optimistic guidance for fiscal 2026 and strategic pipeline projects bolster future growth prospects. The dividend increase and paused buyback program reflect shareholder value focus. Despite some uncertainties in the Q&A, the overall sentiment is bolstered by record high production and efficient capital spending, indicating a strong positive outlook.
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