MTG Earnings

MTG reported its earnings on 2026-04-29, showcasing a revenue of 297.08M against an estimate of 302.06M, resulting in a -1.65% surprise. The EPS was 0.76, surpassing the expected 0.73 by 4.11%. The stock experienced a -9.1% price change on the earnings day and a -9.92% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following MTG's earnings announcement on 2026-04-29, the stock price moved by -9.1% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -9.92% change. Historically, MTG's stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.97% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 0.86% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q2, analysts estimate MTG's annual revenue to reach 315.38M, while the EPS is projected at 0.79. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between MTG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, MTG's stock price typically moves by -1.97% in the 10 days before its earnings and 0.86% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q2 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.79 and revenue of 315.38M.

The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While financial performance is stable with a slight increase in insurance in force and disciplined expense management, concerns arise from the increase in delinquency rates and unclear management responses. Share repurchases and dividends indicate shareholder value, but the impact of refinancing on persistency and premium rates is uncertain. The Q&A reveals positive long-term credit trends but highlights potential issues with servicer reporting and macroeconomic factors. Overall, the stock price is expected to remain neutral, balancing positive and negative influences.