LSTR Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how LSTR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LSTR sees a +0.21% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.49% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.23%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
LSTR Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
1.21B
0.45%
-0.38%
Gross Margin
12.99%
-6.48%
-1.07%
Operating Margin
4.76%
-19.46%
-3.64%
Net Margin
3.81%
-20.62%
-7.30%
EPS
1.31
-19.14%
-7.09%
No Data Available
LSTR Earnings Analysis
Landstar System Inc Corporation (LSTR.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Heavy Haul Revenue Surge: Record heavy haul revenue of approximately $498 million in 2024, driven by a 9% increase in revenue per load and a 3% increase in volume.
Truck Revenue Growth: Truck revenue per load increased by 3.1% in Q4 2024 compared to Q4 2023, with actual results falling within the upper half of guidance.
Heavy Haul Revenue Surge: Heavy haul revenue was up 24% year over year in Q4 2024, with loadings up 8% and revenue per load increasing 15%.
Strong Balance Sheet: Landstar's balance sheet remains strong with cash and short-term investments totaling $567 million and $287 million in cash flow from operations for the fiscal year.
Capital Return to Shareholders: $120 million in dividends paid and approximately $81 million in share repurchases during the fiscal year demonstrate a commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Negative
Truck Load Decline: Actual number of loads hauled via truck in Q4 2024 was 3.4% below Q4 2023, indicating a decline in operational performance.
Gross Profit Decline: Gross profit decreased to $109.4 million in Q4 2024 from $124.6 million in Q4 2023, reflecting a drop in profitability.
Declining Contribution Margin: Variable contribution margin fell to 13.8% of revenue in Q4 2024 compared to 14.8% in Q4 2023, indicating reduced efficiency in cost management.
Rising Insurance Costs: Insurance and claims costs increased to $30.1 million in Q4 2024 from $27.3 million in Q4 2023, raising concerns over risk management and operational costs.
Truck Count Decline: BCO truck count decreased approximately 10% year-over-year, suggesting challenges in driver retention and fleet capacity.
LSTR FAQs
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LSTR Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Landstar Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast, stock dips
LSTR.O
0.5%Positive
The earnings call presents mixed signals. While there are positive aspects such as the special dividend and increased heavy haul revenue, there are significant negatives including a drop in gross profit and margin, increased insurance costs, and a 10% decline in BCO count. Management's lack of clarity on certain risks, such as tariffs, adds uncertainty. The Q&A indicates a cautious optimism about the business cycle, but overall, the financial performance and guidance suggest a neutral market reaction in the short term.
