CNH Should I Buy
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CNH Industrial NV is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. While the stock has some positive catalysts, such as improved sustainability rankings and recent analyst upgrades, the financial performance shows significant declines in net income and EPS. Additionally, hedge funds are selling, and there is no strong signal from Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals. The cautious outlook for FY26 and the lack of recent congress trading data further support a hold recommendation.
The stock shows bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the MACD histogram is positive, indicating a bullish trend. However, RSI is neutral at 70.708, and the stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 13.148). There is no clear breakout signal.
Ranked in the top 1% of S&P Global's 2026 Sustainability Yearbook.
Analysts have raised price targets and ratings, with some projecting a trough in 2026 earnings.
Q4 2025 revenue increased by 6% YoY.
Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 125.43% increase in selling activity last quarter.
Net income and EPS dropped significantly in Q4 2025 (-50.29% and -50.00% YoY, respectively).
CNH expects a cautious FY26 outlook with a 5% decline in global industry retail demand.
In Q4 2025, revenue grew by 5.76% YoY to $5.16 billion, but net income dropped by 50.29% YoY to $86 million. EPS also fell by 50% YoY to $0.07, and gross margin declined by 7.22% YoY to 29.55%.
Recent analyst upgrades include Citi raising the price target to $15, Oppenheimer to $16, and Truist to $17, all with Buy or Outperform ratings. However, JPMorgan downgraded the stock to Underweight with a $10 price target, citing downside risks for North America large ag equipment sales beyond 2025.
