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CME Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy CME Group Inc (CME) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
287.450
1 Day change
-0.07%
52 Week Range
329.160
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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CME Group Inc is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company has strong financial performance, positive analyst sentiment, and upcoming product expansions that align with increasing demand. While technical indicators are neutral, the long-term growth potential and positive catalysts outweigh short-term fluctuations.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 39.562. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 295.499), suggesting limited downside risk in the short term.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Revenue and net income growth in Q4 2025 (26.71% and 35.23% YoY, respectively).

  • Expansion of the Equity Index Dividend suite and launch of Eris SOFR swap options, signaling innovation and market demand.

  • Positive analyst sentiment with multiple price target increases and 'Buy' ratings.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Neutral trading sentiment from hedge funds and insiders.

  • MACD and RSI indicators suggest no immediate bullish momentum.

  • Concerns about tough year-over-year comparisons for Q2 earnings.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, CME Group achieved a 26.71% YoY revenue increase to $3.12 billion and a 35.23% YoY net income increase to $1.17 billion. EPS rose 35% YoY to $3.24, demonstrating strong profitability and growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on CME Group, with multiple firms raising price targets (e.g., Piper Sandler to $329, Morgan Stanley to $362, TD Cowen to $340). The consensus leans toward 'Buy' or 'Overweight,' with some caution on Q2 comparisons.

Wall Street analysts forecast CME stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CME stock price to fall
4 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 287.650
sliders
Low
209
Averages
285.9
High
320
Current: 287.650
sliders
Low
209
Averages
285.9
High
320
Piper Sandler
Patrick Moley
maintain
$313 -> $329
AI Analysis
2026-04-15
Reason
Piper Sandler
Patrick Moley
Price Target
$313 -> $329
AI Analysis
2026-04-15
maintain
Reason
Piper Sandler analyst Patrick Moley raised the firm's price target on CME Group to $329 from $313 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Heading into Q1 earnings, the firm expects management teams to strike a positive tone on the outlook for trading volumes, especially in futures as the Iran War continues to impact global energy and commodities markets. Piper is somewhat cautious on the tough year-over-year comparisons facing exchanges in Q2, but a continuation of the Iran War is a strong counter.
Barclays
Equal Weight
maintain
$344 -> $343
2026-04-13
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$344 -> $343
2026-04-13
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays lowered the firm's price target on CME Group to $343 from $344 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares.
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