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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of CME Group Inc(CME) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of CME Group Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q12025-04-23Pre-Market2.792.80+0.361.66B1.64B-1.18-1.54+0.89
FY2024Q42025-02-12Pre-Market2.442.52+3.281.51B1.53B+1.20+2.99+3.73
FY2024Q32024-10-23Pre-Market2.652.68+1.131.59B1.58B-0.63+0.43+0.41
FY2024Q22024-07-24-2.512.56+1.991.53B1.53B+0.23-0.10-0.12
FY2024Q12024-04-24-2.442.50+2.461.48B1.49B+0.86-1.93-3.29
FY2023Q42024-02-14-2.272.37+4.411.43B1.44B+0.92+3.74+3.65
FY2023Q32023-10-25-2.212.25+1.811.34B1.34B-0.19-0.08-0.37
FY2023Q22023-07-26-2.182.30+5.501.34B1.36B+1.21+3.94+4.50
-2023-04-26-2.362.42+2.54----1.52-1.20
-2023-02-08-1.901.92+1.05---+5.42+4.83

CME Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, CME Group Inc reported performance for FY2025Q1, announced on 2025-04-23. The company achieved an EPS of 2.80, compared to analyst estimates of 2.79 by 0.36% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.64B compared to expectations of 1.66B by -1.18% .
The stock price reacted with a -1.54% one-day change and a 0.89% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in CME Group Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

CME Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, CME Group Inc(CME) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q2 project quarter revenue of 1.68B and an EPS of 2.97.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 3.19%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 5.74%. For the upcoming Q2 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 6.34% . These revisions correlate with a 12.50% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in CME Group Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between CME's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+3.19%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+5.74%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q2 2025
Revise Upward
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+6.34%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+12.50%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:6.54B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:11.18
Stock Price289.00

CME Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

CME Group Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-23,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.80 (Actual) vs.2.79 (Estimate) (0.36%)
Revenue: 1.64B (Actual) vs. 1.66B (Estimate) (-1.18%)
Price Reaction: -1.54%(1-Day), 0.89%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-02-12,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.52 (Actual) vs.2.44 (Estimate) (3.28%)
Revenue: 1.53B (Actual) vs. 1.51B (Estimate) (1.20%)
Price Reaction: 2.99%(1-Day), 3.73%(5-Day)
FY2024Q3 (2024-10-23,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.68 (Actual) vs.2.65 (Estimate) (1.13%)
Revenue: 1.58B (Actual) vs. 1.59B (Estimate) (-0.63%)
Price Reaction: 0.43%(1-Day), 0.41%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CME performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CME sees a -2.92% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.59% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.14%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in MAR/2025, the stock changed 0.68% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 8.93% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

CME Group Inc (CME) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-24
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance with increased revenue, EPS, and operating income, alongside improved margins. The Q&A session highlighted growth in international markets and effective cost management, although some concerns were raised about management's clarity on certain issues. Despite this, the overall sentiment remains positive due to robust financial metrics and strategic initiatives like the BrokerTec launch, suggesting a likely stock price increase in the short term.
CME Group Inc. (CME) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-23
The earnings call highlights record revenue and net income, strong growth in risk management products, and increased client acquisition, particularly from international markets. The partnership with Google Cloud and significant increases in futures volumes due to Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are positive indicators. Despite some competitive pressures and regulatory risks, the optimistic guidance, robust financial performance, and active shareholder return strategies, including buybacks, suggest a positive outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
CME Group Inc. (CME) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-24
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with record revenues and net income, alongside a robust shareholder return plan, which are positive indicators. The Q&A section reveals management's confidence in tracking revenue guidance and capital allocation. Despite some uncertainties, like the Google partnership's impact, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strategic growth in energy and market data revenue. The company's ability to maintain high trading volumes and efficiencies further supports a positive outlook, suggesting a potential stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of CME’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q1?

CME reported its FY2025Q1 earnings on 2025-04-23, showcasing a revenue of 1.64B against an estimate of 1.66B, resulting in a -1.18% surprise. The EPS was 2.8, surpassing the expected 2.79 by 0.36% . The stock experienced a -1.54% price change on the earnings day and a 0.89% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did CME’s stock price react after the FY2025Q1 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for CME for 2025/Q2?

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How does CME’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from CME’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in CME Group Inc (CME) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary?