Quarterly Results
CME Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, CME remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.62B and an EPS of 2.72.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.29%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 0.83%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 2.32% . These revisions correlate with a -0.82% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in CME long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CME performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CME sees a -2.68% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.77% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.78%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.41% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 0.07% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of CME's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
CME reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-22, showcasing a revenue of 1.54B against an estimate of 1.53B, resulting in a 0.5% surprise. The EPS was 2.68, surpassing the expected 2.63 by 1.9% . The stock experienced a -0.3% price change on the earnings day and a 0.92% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did CME's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
Following CME's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-22, the stock price moved by -0.30% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.92% change. Historically, CME's stock price tends to shift by an average of -2.68% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.77% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for CME for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate CME’s annual revenue to reach 1.62B, while the EPS is projected at 2.72. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.29% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 2.32% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does CME's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between CME's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.29%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 2.32% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from CME's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, CME's stock price typically moves by -2.68% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.77% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 2.72 and revenue of 1.62B.
What is the sentiment in CME Group Inc (CME) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call summary and Q&A session reveal several positive aspects: a strategic partnership with FanDuel, stable energy volumes, and significant proceeds from the OSTTRA sale. Although there are some uncertainties regarding sports-related contracts and parlays, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong market data revenue growth and plans for 24/7 crypto trading. The slight reduction in operating expense guidance further supports a positive outlook. Despite some vague responses, the overall market strategy and shareholder return plans suggest a positive stock price movement.

