AON Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how AON performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AON sees a +2.51% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.59% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.86%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
AON Key Earning Data
AON Earnings Analysis
Positive
Organic Revenue Growth Achievement: We achieved organic revenue growth of 5% in Q1 2025, aligning with our mid-single-digit growth expectations.
Revenue Increase Performance: Total revenue increased by 16% to $4.7 billion, demonstrating strong overall performance.
Operating Income Increase: Adjusted operating income grew by 12% to $1.8 billion, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiencies.
Strong Cash Generation: We generated $80 million in free cash flow, showcasing our strong cash generation capabilities.
Shareholder Capital Return: Aon returned $397 million in capital to shareholders, including a 10% increase in our quarterly dividend, marking the fifteenth consecutive year of dividend growth.
Successful Integration and Retention: The integration of NFP has been successful, with producer retention higher than pre-deal levels and a strong pipeline for future acquisitions.
Financial Goals and Growth: We are on track to achieve our 2025 financial goals, reaffirming our guidance for mid-single-digit organic revenue growth and margin expansion.
Talent Investment Success: Our talent investment strategy is yielding results, with significant hiring in priority areas to better serve clients and drive growth.
Negative
Earnings Miss Reported: Aon plc missed earnings expectations with reported EPS of $5.67, falling short of the expected $6.01.
Operating Income Margin Decline: Adjusted operating income margin decreased to 38.4%, down from 39.7% in Q1 2024, reflecting the impact of the NFP acquisition and higher interest expenses.
Rising Interest Expense Impact: Interest expense increased by $62 million compared to last year, primarily due to higher debt from the NFP acquisition, which could pressure future profitability.
Fiduciary Income Decline: Fiduciary investment income was down 15% year-over-year, indicating challenges in generating income from investments due to lower interest rates.
Market Conditions Outlook: The company anticipates softer market conditions in the second quarter, with property rates in the US and Japan expected to decline by 5% to 20%.
Revenue Growth Challenges: Despite achieving 5% organic revenue growth, the company faces pressure from pricing and exposures, which could impact future growth rates.
AON FAQs
How does AON typically perform around its earnings report dates?
AON's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +2.51% change leading up to the report and a +3.59% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Aon PLC (AON) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
AON Earning Call Sentiment
Aon plc (NYSE:AON) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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