Based on the provided data and technical analysis, here is the prediction for CL (Crude Oil) for next week:
Technical Analysis:
- Current RSI (14) at 37.16 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting potential for a technical bounce
- Price is trading below both SMA-20 (88.96) and SMA-200 (95.66), indicating bearish long-term trend
- MACD at -1.31 shows bearish momentum continues
News Impact Analysis:
- President Trump called for OPEC to reduce oil prices to impact Russia's finances
- Brent crude dropped to $77.97 and WTI at $74.16
- Goldman Sachs analysts do not expect significant disruption to Russian production due to higher freight rates and discounts attracting buyers
- JP Morgan notes risk premium is justified with 20% of global Aframax fleet facing sanctions
Price Targets for Next Week:
Based on Fibonacci levels:
- Resistance 1: $89.24
- Resistance 2: $90.14
- Resistance 3: $91.60
- Support 1: $86.32
- Support 2: $85.42
- Support 3: $83.96
- Pivot: $87.78
Prediction:
Price target: $84.50-85.50
Trading Recommendation: SELL
- Entry: Current market price around $87.78
- Stop loss: Above $89.24 (R1)
- Take profit: $85.42 (S2)
Rationale:
- Bearish pressure from Trump's call for lower oil prices
- Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
- Price trading below key moving averages
- Oversold conditions may provide some support but overall trend remains bearish
Based on the provided data and technical analysis, here is the prediction for CL (Crude Oil) for next week:
Technical Analysis:
- Current RSI (14) at 37.16 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting potential for a technical bounce
- Price is trading below both SMA-20 (88.96) and SMA-200 (95.66), indicating bearish long-term trend
- MACD at -1.31 shows bearish momentum continues
News Impact Analysis:
- President Trump called for OPEC to reduce oil prices to impact Russia's finances
- Brent crude dropped to $77.97 and WTI at $74.16
- Goldman Sachs analysts do not expect significant disruption to Russian production due to higher freight rates and discounts attracting buyers
- JP Morgan notes risk premium is justified with 20% of global Aframax fleet facing sanctions
Price Targets for Next Week:
Based on Fibonacci levels:
- Resistance 1: $89.24
- Resistance 2: $90.14
- Resistance 3: $91.60
- Support 1: $86.32
- Support 2: $85.42
- Support 3: $83.96
- Pivot: $87.78
Prediction:
Price target: $84.50-85.50
Trading Recommendation: SELL
- Entry: Current market price around $87.78
- Stop loss: Above $89.24 (R1)
- Take profit: $85.42 (S2)
Rationale:
- Bearish pressure from Trump's call for lower oil prices
- Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
- Price trading below key moving averages
- Oversold conditions may provide some support but overall trend remains bearish