CHRD Valuation

Chord Energy Corp

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104.330

-1.02(-0.968%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

CHRD Relative Valuation

CHRD's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CHRD is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 13.51 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 7.08. The fair price of Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) is between 48.10 to 82.71 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 105.35 USD , Chord Energy Corp is Overvalued By 27.37%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

48.10-82.71

Current Price：105.35

27.37%

Overvalued

13.29

Trailing

Forward

3.10

EV/EBITDA

Chord Energy Corp. (CHRD) has a current EV/EBITDA of 3.10. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 3.04. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.79, Undervalued between 1.79 and 2.41, Fairly Valued between 3.67 and 2.41, Overvalued between 3.67 and 4.29, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.29. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 3.10 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

11.06

EV/EBIT

Chord Energy Corp. (CHRD) has a current EV/EBIT of 11.06. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 5.05. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.35, Undervalued between 0.35 and 2.70, Fairly Valued between 7.40 and 2.70, Overvalued between 7.40 and 9.76, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.76. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 11.06 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

1.46

Chord Energy Corp. (CHRD) has a current PS of 1.46. The 5-year average PS is 1.53. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.78, Undervalued between 0.78 and 1.15, Fairly Valued between 1.90 and 1.15, Overvalued between 1.90 and 2.28, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.28. The current Forward PS of 1.46 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.90

P/OCF

Chord Energy Corp. (CHRD) has a current P/OCF of 2.90. The 5-year average P/OCF is 2.85. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.51, Undervalued between 1.51 and 2.18, Fairly Valued between 3.52 and 2.18, Overvalued between 3.52 and 4.19, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.19. The current Forward P/OCF of 2.90 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

8.53

P/FCF

Chord Energy Corp. (CHRD) has a current P/FCF of 8.53. The 5-year average P/FCF is 5.69. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.71, Undervalued between 1.71 and 3.70, Fairly Valued between 7.68 and 3.70, Overvalued between 7.68 and 9.67, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.67. The current Forward P/FCF of 8.53 falls within the Overvalued range.

Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.14 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -34.37% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.12, the current P/B ratio is about -33.18% higher. Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 15.88%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 16.55%, the current FCF yield is approximately -4.06% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 16.63% , the current FCF yield is about -4.47% lower.

0.74

P/B

Median3y

1.14

Median5y

1.12

16.04

FCF Yield

Median3y

16.55

Median5y

16.63

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for CHRD's competitors is 1.76, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Chord Energy Corp Corp (CHRD) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.46, which is -17.36% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -6.36%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

California Resources Corp

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of CHRD decreased by 23.54% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 6.18 to 23.34.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -6.36%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of CHRD in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-6.36%

1.26B → 1.18B

Revenue Growth

-295.21%

16.92 → -33.03

Margin Expansion

278.03%

6.18 → 23.34

P/E Change

-23.54%