CGBD Stock Price Prediction

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc

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14.700

+0.290(+2.010%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. CGBD has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

CGBD stock price ended at $14.6999998 on Friday, after rising 2.01%

The Carlyle Secured Lending Inc stock price increased by 2.01% on the last trading day (02 May 2025), rising from 14.4499998 to 14.6999998. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.33% , ranging from a day low of $14.3850002 to a day high of 14.7200003. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.75% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -47.40K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 293.36K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 4.27M.

CGBD Technical Signals

CGBD(Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-03-31. The total price change during this trend is -10.01%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of CGBD over the last 5 trading days is 5.65M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

CGBD Moving Average Analysis

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 3, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $15.324354933333334, and $15.806133333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $13.765511733333332, and $13.283733333333332. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

CGBD Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Carlyle Secured Lending Inc(CGBD) as of 01 May 2025 is 15.91%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 14.77 to 14.41. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Moving Average

Price crosses above 20-day SMA

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.552

Bearish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-0.03

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.314

Bearish

CGBD Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Carlyle Secured Lending Inc(CGBD), our algorithm predicts CGBD's 1-month price at $14.39, with an -2.66%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.76%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD.O) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a -2.66% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with GSBD.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.76%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

CGBD

Future prediction

Up: -2.66%

GSBD

Down: -2.66%Similarity: 98.76%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

GSBD.N

98.76%

-2.66%

GLAD.O

98.52%

-14.25%

LILA.O

98.49%

-4.31%

PSEC.O

98.47%

-1.23%

PLYM.N

98.41%

+4.99%

CRMT.O

98.39%

+3.95%

TWO.N

98.37%

+0.85%

IBP.N

98.37%

+10.23%

CIM.N

98.37%

+3.52%

NYMT.O

98.35%

+17.91%

CGBD Seasonality Analysis

Based on CGBD's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in CGBD. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at87.50%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD.O) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (87.50%), while September has the lowest probability (25.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.