Should I Buy Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. CGBD has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
CGBD stock price ended at $13.74 on Wednesday, after losing -1.01%
The Carlyle Secured Lending Inc stock price decreased by -1.01% on the last trading day (13 Aug 2025), dropping from 13.96 to 13.74. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.90% , ranging from a day low of $13.72 to a day high of 13.98. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -1.72% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 285.00K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 759.81K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 10.51M.
CGBD Technical Signals
CGBD(Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-08-06. The total price change during this trend is +1.03%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of CGBD over the last 5 trading days is 7.17M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
CGBD Moving Average Analysis
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Thursday, August 14, 2025, with 4 negative signals and 0 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $14.18, and $14.45. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $13.32, and $13.05. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
CGBD Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Carlyle Secured Lending Inc(CGBD) as of 11 Aug 2025 is 19.82%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 13.93 to 13.82. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
1
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
1 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.112
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.24
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.0538
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 5-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
CGBD Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
In 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $9.55 and $17.31.
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 4.33%
In Jan 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $14.46. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $14.33 and a high of $14.66.
Feb 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -18.24%
In Feb 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $11.33. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $10.46 and a high of $12.38.
Mar 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -13.54%
In Mar 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $11.98. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.55 and a high of $13.52.
Apr 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -2.55%
In Apr 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $13.51. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $12.58 and a high of $14.68.
May 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 7.64%
In May 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $14.92. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $12.58 and a high of $15.70.
Jun 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -7.28%
In Jun 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $12.85. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $10.75 and a high of $14.18.
Jul 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 6.54%
In Jul 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $14.77. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $12.83 and a high of $17.31.
Aug 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -7.75%
In Aug 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $12.79. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $11.71 and a high of $14.54.
Sep 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -8.98%
In Sep 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $12.61. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $11.52 and a high of $13.66.
Oct 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -2.33%
In Oct 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $13.54. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $11.88 and a high of $13.61.
Nov 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 7.64%
In Nov 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $14.92. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $12.46 and a high of $16.17.
Dec 2026: CGBD Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 5.83%
In Dec 2026, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $14.67. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $12.16 and a high of $15.46.
CGBD Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Carlyle Secured Lending Inc(CGBD), our algorithm predicts CGBD's 1-month price at $10.64, with an -23.84%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 91.02%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD.O) stock, as of Sunday, July 20, 2025 , forecasts a -23.84% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PULM.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 91.02%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
CGBD
No Data
PULM
Down: -23.84%Similarity: 91.02%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
PULM.O
91.02%
-23.84%
CGBD Seasonality Analysis
Based on CGBD's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in August is27.27%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in CGBD. In contrast,Februaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at60.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD.O) stock in February has the highest probability of a positive return (60.00%), while August has the lowest probability (27.27%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
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