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CFR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc (CFR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
133.280
1 Day change
-0.54%
52 Week Range
148.970
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc (CFR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown solid financial performance and positive analyst sentiment for the long term, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend in the short term. Additionally, there are no significant trading signals or recent news catalysts to suggest immediate upside potential. Given the investor's preference for long-term investments, it may be prudent to wait for a more favorable entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is -1.037, indicating a bearish trend with negative expansion. RSI is at 28.81, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold territory but not yet a clear buy signal. The stock is trading near its S1 support level of 137.25, with resistance at 141.179. Moving averages are converging, signaling indecision in the market.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q4 financial performance with revenue up 8.17% YoY, net income up 7.30% YoY, and EPS up 8.47% YoY. Positive long-term analyst sentiment with multiple price target increases.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Bearish short-term technical indicators, including a negatively expanding MACD and RSI approaching oversold levels. Broader market uncertainty due to macroeconomic concerns, including tariff issues and AI-driven job loss worries.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company reported revenue growth of 8.17% YoY, net income growth of 7.30% YoY, and EPS growth of 8.47% YoY. These results demonstrate consistent financial strength and operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have raised price targets across the board, with a range of $125 to $163. The sentiment is mixed, with Buy, Neutral, and Underweight ratings. The company's consistent earnings beats and strong fundamentals are noted as positives, but some analysts remain cautious due to recent outperformance and broader market risks.

Wall Street analysts forecast CFR stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CFR stock price to rise
4 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 134.000
sliders
Low
125
Averages
148.6
High
163
Current: 134.000
sliders
Low
125
Averages
148.6
High
163
Cantor Fitzgerald
Neutral
maintain
$141 -> $152
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald
Price Target
$141 -> $152
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald raised the firm's price target on Cullen/Frost to $152 from $141 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Bank stocks faced a volatile week driven by a mix of renewed tariff concerns, the collapse of UK-based Market Financial Solutions, lingering AI-driven job loss worries, and an above-consensus January PPI reading, which together fueled near-term uncertainty, but Cantor remains bullish for 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Morgan Stanley
Underweight
maintain
$136 -> $143
2026-03-02
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$136 -> $143
2026-03-02
maintain
Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Cullen/Frost to $143 from $136 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The firm is increasing price targets by a median 8% across the midcap banks group. While noting that recent outperformance means "the bar is higher from here," the firm remains optimistic on the group, citing tailwinds from loan growth, net interest margin and capital return.
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