CCL Valuation

Carnival Corp

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29.270

+0.01(0.034%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

CCL Relative Valuation

CCL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CCL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Carnival Corp (CCL) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.00 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of -3.85. The fair price of Carnival Corp (CCL) is between +Inf to +Inf according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 29.21 USD , Carnival Corp is Undervalued By Fair.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

+Inf-+Inf

Current Price：29.21

Fair

Undervalued

13.89

Trailing

Forward

9.04

EV/EBITDA

Carnival Corp. (CCL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 9.04. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 10.30. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -62.36, Undervalued between -62.36 and -26.03, Fairly Valued between 46.64 and -26.03, Overvalued between 46.64 and 82.97, and Strongly Overvalued above 82.97. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 9.04 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

15.21

EV/EBIT

Carnival Corp. (CCL) has a current EV/EBIT of 15.21. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 8.67. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -53.57, Undervalued between -53.57 and -22.45, Fairly Valued between 39.79 and -22.45, Overvalued between 39.79 and 70.92, and Strongly Overvalued above 70.92. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 15.21 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.41

Carnival Corp. (CCL) has a current PS of 1.41. The 5-year average PS is 1.81. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.62, Undervalued between -2.62 and -0.40, Fairly Valued between 4.03 and -0.40, Overvalued between 4.03 and 6.25, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.25. The current Forward PS of 1.41 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.15

P/OCF

Carnival Corp. (CCL) has a current P/OCF of 6.15. The 5-year average P/OCF is -1.70. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -50.99, Undervalued between -50.99 and -26.35, Fairly Valued between 22.94 and -26.35, Overvalued between 22.94 and 47.59, and Strongly Overvalued above 47.59. The current Forward P/OCF of 6.15 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

11.70

P/FCF

Carnival Corp. (CCL) has a current P/FCF of 11.70. The 5-year average P/FCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -40.96, Undervalued between -40.96 and -20.48, Fairly Valued between 20.49 and -20.48, Overvalued between 20.49 and 40.97, and Strongly Overvalued above 40.97. The current Forward P/FCF of 11.70 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Carnival Corp (CCL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 3.81. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.75 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 38.17% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.24, the current P/B ratio is about 69.57% higher. Carnival Corp (CCL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -10.05%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -24.09% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

3.83

P/B

Median3y

2.75

Median5y

2.24

7.36

FCF Yield

Median3y

-10.05

Median5y

-24.09

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for CCL's competitors is 3.48, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Carnival Corp Corp (CCL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.41, which is -59.44% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 9.46%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of CCL increased by 77.39% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 1.57 to 8.93.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 9.46%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of CCL in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

9.46%

5.78B → 6.33B

Revenue Growth

468.79%

1.57 → 8.93

Margin Expansion

-400.86%

-5.27 → 15.86

P/E Change

77.39%