MSTR Valuation

Strategy Inc

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334.410

-4.43(-1.307%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

MSTR Relative Valuation

MSTR's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, MSTR is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Strategy Inc (MSTR) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 207.07 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of -132.61. The fair price of Strategy Inc (MSTR) is between 164.49 to 316.25 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 334.41 USD , Strategy Inc is Overvalued By 5.74%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

164.49-316.25

Current Price：334.41

5.74%

Overvalued

16.51

Trailing

Forward

3307.58

EV/EBITDA

Strategy Inc. (MSTR) has a current EV/EBITDA of 3307.58. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 531.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1306.30, Undervalued between -1306.30 and -387.44, Fairly Valued between 1450.28 and -387.44, Overvalued between 1450.28 and 2369.14, and Strongly Overvalued above 2369.14. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 3307.58 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

9.46

EV/EBIT

Strategy Inc. (MSTR) has a current EV/EBIT of 9.46. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -310.25. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1711.39, Undervalued between -1711.39 and -1010.82, Fairly Valued between 390.31 and -1010.82, Overvalued between 390.31 and 1090.88, and Strongly Overvalued above 1090.88. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 9.46 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

207.07

Strategy Inc. (MSTR) has a current PS of 207.07. The 5-year average PS is 45.74. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -92.73, Undervalued between -92.73 and -23.50, Fairly Valued between 114.98 and -23.50, Overvalued between 114.98 and 184.22, and Strongly Overvalued above 184.22. The current Forward PS of 207.07 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

7732.98

P/OCF

Strategy Inc. (MSTR) has a current P/OCF of 7732.98. The 5-year average P/OCF is -543.46. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -5235.04, Undervalued between -5235.04 and -2889.25, Fairly Valued between 1802.33 and -2889.25, Overvalued between 1802.33 and 4148.11, and Strongly Overvalued above 4148.11. The current Forward P/OCF of 7732.98 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

-13587.95

P/FCF

Strategy Inc. (MSTR) has a current P/FCF of -13587.95. The 5-year average P/FCF is -9981.76. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -106114.75, Undervalued between -106114.75 and -58048.25, Fairly Valued between 38084.74 and -58048.25, Overvalued between 38084.74 and 86151.24, and Strongly Overvalued above 86151.24. The current Forward P/FCF of -13587.95 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Strategy Inc (MSTR) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.98. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 4.88 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -59.48% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 9.44, the current P/B ratio is about -79.03% higher. Strategy Inc (MSTR) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -0.14%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 0.08%, the current FCF yield is approximately -278.72% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 0.72% , the current FCF yield is about -119.40% lower.

1.98

P/B

Median3y

4.88

Median5y

9.44

-0.14

FCF Yield

Median3y

0.08

Median5y

0.72

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for MSTR's competitors is 43.55, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Strategy Inc Corp (MSTR) exhibits a P/S ratio of 207.07, which is 375.46% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 2.73%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Spotify Technology SA

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of MSTR increased by 98.35% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 0.18 to 17.77.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 2.73%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of MSTR in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

2.73%

111.44M → 114.49M

Revenue Growth

-9610.76%

-92.03 → 8.75K

Margin Expansion

9706.38%

0.18 → 17.77

P/E Change

98.35%