Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MSTR has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
MSTR stock price ended at $369.03 on Wednesday, after losing-1.64%
The Microstrategy Inc stock price decreased by -1.64% on the last trading day (18 Jun 2025), dropping from 371.43 to 369.03. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.04% , ranging from a day low of $367.42 to a day high of 374.9099. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -2.40% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -2.02M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 9.20M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 3.41B.
MSTR Technical Signals
MSTR(Microstrategy Inc Corp) has 2 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-05-22. The total price change during this trend is -7.62%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of MSTR over the last 5 trading days is 3.57B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
MSTR Moving Average Analysis
Microstrategy Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, June 20, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $398.6306611333334, and $410.27673333333337. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $360.94860553333336, and $349.3025333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
MSTR Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Microstrategy Inc(MSTR) as of 17 Jun 2025 is 18.26%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 382.25 to 375.18. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.532
Bullish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-12.274
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-9.07
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
MSTR Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Microstrategy Inc(MSTR), our algorithm predicts MSTR's 1-month price at $440.22, with an 14.98%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.65%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Microstrategy Inc (MSTR.O) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a 14.98% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ARCT.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.65%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
MSTR
No Data
ARCT
Up: 14.98%Similarity: 92.65%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
ARCT.O
92.65%
+14.98%
LBTYB.O
92.11%
-8.51%
IMCC.O
91.91%
-27.54%
EVRG.O
91.71%
+2.13%
ASC.N
91.44%
-8.62%
PSA.N
91.42%
+2.83%
USIO.O
91.37%
-17.50%
SBAC.O
91.32%
+1.80%
CRDO.O
91.24%
+31.39%
CARS.N
91.15%
+0.06%
MSTR Seasonality Analysis
Based on MSTR's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is36.36%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in MSTR. In contrast,Octoberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Microstrategy Inc (MSTR.O) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while May has the lowest probability (27.27%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Microstrategy Inc. (MSTR)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Microstrategy Inc (MSTR.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MSTR has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Microstrategy Inc (MSTR.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Microstrategy Inc (MSTR.O) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while May has the lowest probability (27.27%).
How has Microstrategy Inc. (MSTR)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
MSTR's stock price rose by 335.54% in 2023,increased by 322.71% in 2024, and went up by 23.01% in 2025.
Which bull technical signals does MSTR have?
Bullish technical signals of MSTR include: MACD_12_26_9 > 0, 10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA.
Which bearish technical signals does MSTR have?
Bearish technical signals of MSTR include: AO_5_34 < 0, MOM_10 < 0, 5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA.
Is MSTR a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
MSTR has 2 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for MSTR is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of MSTR.
What is the trend of Microstrategy Inc (MSTR)'s moving average?
Microstrategy Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of June 20 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for MSTR stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Microstrategy Inc (MSTR.O) stock, as of June 15 2025, forecasts a 14.98% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ARCT stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.65%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for MSTR Stock?
MSTR stock is expected to reach a price of **$420** by the end of 2025. This prediction is based on the company's strategic Bitcoin holdings and analyst upgrades, despite facing legal challenges and volatility risks.
What is price prediction 2030 for MSTR Stock?
MSTR stock could reach **$1,200-$1,500 by 2030**, driven by Bitcoin's growth and MSTR's strategic holdings. If Bitcoin surges to $13 million as predicted, MSTR might exceed **$2,500**. Risks include market volatility and regulatory challenges.