AXL Stock Price Prediction

American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc

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3.910

+0.090(+2.360%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AXL has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

AXL stock price ended at $3.91 on Thursday, after rising 2.36%

The American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc stock price increased by 2.36% on the last trading day (01 May 2025), rising from 3.76 to 3.82. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.03% , ranging from a day low of $3.72 to a day high of 3.87. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 18.63% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -5.99K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.50M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 9.53M.

AXL Technical Signals

AXL(American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 6 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-03-25. The total price change during this trend is -15.11%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of AXL over the last 5 trading days is 9.72M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

AXL Moving Average Analysis

American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Thursday, May 1, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $3.965446666666667, and $4.236666666666666. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $3.087886666666667, and $2.816666666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

AXL Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc(AXL) as of 29 Apr 2025 is 31.96%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 3.76 to 3.84. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Strong sell

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.6

Bullish

6 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

93.405

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

112.992

Bearish

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.11

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.12

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

99.074

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-5.747

Bearish

AXL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc(AXL), our algorithm predicts AXL's 1-month price at $4.25, with an 14.03%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.70%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc (AXL.N) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a 14.03% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with REGN.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.7%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

AXL

Future prediction

Up: 14.03%

REGN

Up: 14.03%Similarity: 98.7%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

REGN.O

98.70%

+14.03%

STRA.O

98.58%

-24.61%

OZK.O

98.58%

-9.27%

AXL Seasonality Analysis

Based on AXL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is70.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AXL. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc (AXL.N) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while September has the lowest probability (30.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc. (AXL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.