AVDL Should I Buy

BUY (long-term, beginner-friendly sizing). At ~$21.7 pre-market, AVDL is in an established uptrend (bullish moving-average stack) and is trading just above a key pivot/support area (~21.54). Despite mixed near-term signals (slightly negative MACD and bearish put-heavy option volume), the bigger picture is improving fundamentals (Q3 2025 revenue +54.9% YoY, very high gross margin) and a supportive M&A/strategic backdrop referenced by Wall Street. For an impatient long-term investor, this is a reasonable entry now rather than waiting for a perfect dip.

Trend is bullish overall: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 indicates a sustained uptrend. RSI_6 at ~65.7 is neutral-to-warm (not overbought), suggesting momentum without extreme overheating. MACD histogram at -0.022 is below zero but negatively contracting, implying bearish momentum is fading (often a stabilization/continuation setup in an uptrend). Key levels: pivot/support ~21.542 (near current price), S1 ~21.471, S2 ~21.428; resistance starts near R1 ~21.613 and R2 ~21.656. With pre-market ~21.7, price is slightly above the nearest resistance band; that’s mildly “extended” intraday, but still consistent with an uptrend for a long-term entry.