AVDL Stock Price Prediction

Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC

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8.700

+0.090(+1.050%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AVDL has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

AVDL stock price ended at $8.7 on Friday, after rising 1.05%

The Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC stock price increased by 1.05% on the last trading day (02 May 2025), rising from 8.89 to 8.7. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.41% , ranging from a day low of $8.65 to a day high of 8.945. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 8.34% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -7.26K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 715.15K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 6.28M.

AVDL Technical Signals

AVDL(Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC Corp) has 3 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-03-17. The total price change during this trend is -2.60%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of AVDL over the last 5 trading days is 7.58M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

AVDL Moving Average Analysis

Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, May 2, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $9.125456666666667, and $9.566666666666666. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $7.697876666666667, and $7.256666666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

AVDL Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC(AVDL) as of 30 Apr 2025 is 15.86%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 8.61 to 8.89. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.688

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.46

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.234

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

89.279

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

81.052

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-17.647

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 5-day SMA

Bearish

AVDL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC(AVDL), our algorithm predicts AVDL's 1-month price at $9.09, with an 3.64%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.96%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC (AVDL.O) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a 3.64% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with WLY.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.96%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

AVDL

Future prediction

Up: 3.64%

WLY

Up: 3.64%Similarity: 96.96%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

WLY.N

96.96%

+3.64%

XPEV.N

96.69%

+26.18%

ATRC.O

96.64%

+34.53%

NEOV.O

96.56%

+48.10%

THR.N

96.32%

+14.74%

MNOV.O

96.23%

+18.08%

VTGN.O

96.22%

-4.55%

MMSI.O

96.06%

-7.03%

OPRX.O

96.05%

-5.70%

WLK.N

95.96%

+5.97%

AVDL Seasonality Analysis

Based on AVDL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AVDL. In contrast,Februaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at63.64%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC (AVDL.O) stock in February has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while December has the lowest probability (20.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC. (AVDL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.