ATAT Valuation

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd

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34.870

-0.01(-0.029%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ATAT Relative Valuation

ATAT's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ATAT is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd (ATAT) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 20.32 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 18.59. The fair price of Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd (ATAT) is between 26.73 to 38.71 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

26.73-38.71

Current Price：34.87

Fair

20.32

Trailing

Forward

13.60

EV/EBITDA

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd. (ATAT) has a current EV/EBITDA of 13.60. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 12.85. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.07, Undervalued between 6.07 and 9.46, Fairly Valued between 16.24 and 9.46, Overvalued between 16.24 and 19.63, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.63. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 13.60 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

14.22

EV/EBIT

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd. (ATAT) has a current EV/EBIT of 14.22. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 14.12. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.21, Undervalued between 6.21 and 10.16, Fairly Valued between 18.08 and 10.16, Overvalued between 18.08 and 22.04, and Strongly Overvalued above 22.04. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 14.22 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

3.61

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd. (ATAT) has a current PS of 3.61. The 5-year average PS is 3.52. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.90, Undervalued between 1.90 and 2.71, Fairly Valued between 4.33 and 2.71, Overvalued between 4.33 and 5.14, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.14. The current Forward PS of 3.61 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

16.96

P/OCF

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd. (ATAT) has a current P/OCF of 16.96. The 5-year average P/OCF is 14.15. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.91, Undervalued between 7.91 and 11.03, Fairly Valued between 17.27 and 11.03, Overvalued between 17.27 and 20.39, and Strongly Overvalued above 20.39. The current Forward P/OCF of 16.96 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

18.16

P/FCF

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd. (ATAT) has a current P/FCF of 18.16. The 5-year average P/FCF is 14.57. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.80, Undervalued between 7.80 and 11.18, Fairly Valued between 17.95 and 11.18, Overvalued between 17.95 and 21.34, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.34. The current Forward P/FCF of 18.16 falls within the Overvalued range.

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd (ATAT) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 10.47. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 10.08 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 3.86% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 10.08, the current P/B ratio is about 3.86% higher. Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd (ATAT) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.42%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 6.37%, the current FCF yield is approximately -30.69% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.37% , the current FCF yield is about -30.69% lower.

10.47

P/B

Median3y

10.08

Median5y

10.08

4.42

FCF Yield

Median3y

6.37

Median5y

6.37

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ATAT's competitors is 2.06, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd Corp (ATAT) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.61, which is 75.21% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 29.80%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

ATAT.O

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd

Choice Hotels International Inc

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd

0.65

14.54%

3.35B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ATAT increased by 87.51% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 14.96 to 27.66.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 29.80%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ATAT in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

29.80%

1.47B → 1.91B

Revenue Growth

-27.18%

17.55 → 12.78

Margin Expansion

84.89%

14.96 → 27.66

P/E Change

87.51%