Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis for ARM's stock price prediction for the next trading week:
Technical Analysis
News Impact Analysis
Negative Catalyst: Nvidia reduced its stake in ARM by 44% to 1.1 million shares, causing a 5% decline in stock price.
Positive Developments:
Analyst Consensus
Price Prediction for Next Week
Base Case (60% probability): $162-168
Bullish Case (25% probability): $170-176
Bearish Case (15% probability): $154-158
Trading Recommendation HOLD with potential to BUY on dips near $154-155 support level. The stock shows strong fundamentals with expanding market share and strategic partnerships, though short-term volatility is expected due to recent institutional selling.
The price of ARM is predicted to go up 1.04%, based on the high correlation periods with FBIZ. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 92.39%.
ARM
FBIZ
Year
ARM Price Forecast($)
Potential Return(%)
2025
142.290
0.860
2026
185.000
15.950
2027
250.000
56.690
2028
250.000
56.690
2029
250.000
56.690
2030
250.000
56.690
We expect Arm will keep gaining market share in the data center from x86 architecture, as its chips consume less power and data centers need to minimize energy consumption. We also expect share gains in automotive thanks to the transition to electric vehicles.
The overall trend toward Internet of Things and battery-powered devices is a long-term tailwind for Arm, given its architecture is the most energy efficient.
If Arm would manage to change its business model and charge royalties on a per-device basis, this would provide huge revenue and margin upside.
Barclays
2025-01-17
Price Target
$145 → $155
Upside
+3.89%
UBS
2024-11-25
Price Target
$160
Upside
+15.36%
Wells Fargo
2024-11-22
Price Target
$155
Upside
+14.11%