ARLP Valuation

Alliance Resource Partners LP

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23.890

-0.59(-2.410%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ARLP Relative Valuation

ARLP's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ARLP is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 1.46 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 4.60. The fair price of Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) is between 13.20 to 21.70 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 23.89 USD , Alliance Resource Partners LP is Overvalued By 10.1%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

13.20-21.70

Current Price：23.89

10.1%

Overvalued

9.30

Trailing

Forward

5.25

EV/EBITDA

Alliance Resource Partners LP. (ARLP) has a current EV/EBITDA of 5.25. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 3.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.59, Undervalued between 1.59 and 2.51, Fairly Valued between 4.34 and 2.51, Overvalued between 4.34 and 5.26, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.26. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 5.25 falls within the Overvalued range.

9.05

EV/EBIT

Alliance Resource Partners LP. (ARLP) has a current EV/EBIT of 9.05. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 7.29. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -11.78, Undervalued between -11.78 and -2.24, Fairly Valued between 16.82 and -2.24, Overvalued between 16.82 and 26.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 26.36. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 9.05 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.46

Alliance Resource Partners LP. (ARLP) has a current PS of 1.46. The 5-year average PS is 0.96. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.31, Undervalued between 0.31 and 0.63, Fairly Valued between 1.28 and 0.63, Overvalued between 1.28 and 1.61, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.61. The current Forward PS of 1.46 falls within the Overvalued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Alliance Resource Partners LP. (ARLP) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.83. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.23, Undervalued between -2.23 and -0.70, Fairly Valued between 2.35 and -0.70, Overvalued between 2.35 and 3.88, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.88. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Alliance Resource Partners LP. (ARLP) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 1.33. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.49, Undervalued between -3.49 and -1.08, Fairly Valued between 3.74 and -1.08, Overvalued between 3.74 and 6.15, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.15. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.75. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.67 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 4.73% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.43, the current P/B ratio is about 22.22% higher. Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 9.02%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 15.55%, the current FCF yield is approximately -41.98% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 20.70% , the current FCF yield is about -56.42% lower.

1.75

P/B

Median3y

1.67

Median5y

1.43

9.02

FCF Yield

Median3y

15.55

Median5y

20.70

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ARLP's competitors is 1.31, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Alliance Resource Partners LP Corp (ARLP) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.46, which is 11.63% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -7.73%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

ARLP.O

Alliance Resource Partners LP

Core Natural Resources Inc

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ARLP increased by 2.34% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 9.28 to 13.45.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -7.73%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ARLP in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-7.73%

593.35M → 547.46M

Revenue Growth

-34.83%

17.11 → 11.15

Margin Expansion

44.90%

9.28 → 13.45

P/E Change

2.34%