The stock is showing bearish momentum in the short term, with the latest closing price at $26.24, down 2.16% in regular trading hours on February 28, 2025. The stock has experienced further weakness in post-market trading, declining an additional 0.49% to $26.11.

Fundamental Strengths

Strong revenue diversification with coal sales (86.87%), oil & gas royalties (6.24%), and transportation revenues (4.71%)
Maintains a healthy dividend yield around 10%
Solid balance sheet with total leverage ratio of 0.64x and net leverage ratio of 0.39x
Strong liquidity position of $657.7 million including $195.4 million cash

Recent Challenges

Q3 2024 showed declining performance:
- Revenue down 3.6% to $613.6 million
- Net income decreased to $0.66 per unit from $1.18 year-over-year
- Adjusted EBITDA fell to $170.4 million from $227.6 million

Key Risk Factors

Persistent low natural gas prices affecting coal operations
Difficult mining conditions in Appalachia increasing costs
High inventory levels requiring management attention
Regulatory risks from environmental regulations

Based on the current technical weakness and fundamental challenges, selling ARLP stock appears to be the prudent action at this time. The stock is showing downward momentum, and operational headwinds could continue to pressure performance in the near term.

What is price prediction 2025 for ARLP Stock?

Based on the provided data and technical analysis, here's the price prediction for ARLP stock in 2025:

ARLP is expected to reach $29.50 by end of 2025, driven by strong technical support at $25.90 and positive momentum indicators showing potential upward trend breakout from current consolidation pattern. The stock's current trading range between $25.40-$27.99 (Fibonacci levels) suggests accumulation phase, with RSI at 42.38 indicating oversold conditions that typically precede price rebounds. Multiple moving averages convergence around $26-$27 provides strong technical foundation for upward movement.

What is surpport and resistant level for ARLP Stock?

The S1 support level for ARLP Stock is $26.21 ,The R1 resistant level for ARLP Stock is $27.19.

What is the current price of ARLP Stock?

As of the end of day on 2025-03-03, the price of ARLP Stock was $25.78.

What is the target price of ARLP Stock?

The target price for ARLP Stock according to analyst rating is 30.50, with the highest price target at 32.00 and the lowest at 29.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on ARLP Stock overall.

What is the market cap of Alliance Resource Partners LP?

The market cap of ARLP is $3.4B.

Is Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) overvalued?

Based on the financial data and recent market performance, ARLP appears fairly valued at current levels around $26. The company's revenue grew 6% YoY to $2.57B in 2023 while maintaining healthy margins and reducing debt levels from $422M to $338M. Technical indicators show the stock trading near its 20-day moving average of $26.99 with RSI at 42.38, suggesting neutral momentum rather than overbought conditions. The company has successfully diversified beyond coal into Bitcoin mining with 482 BTC on its balance sheet while maintaining a strong 10% dividend yield. The current price-to-earnings ratio and other valuation metrics appear reasonable given the company's stable cash flows and strategic initiatives to adapt its business model.

What is Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP)'s business?

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. is a diversified natural resource company. It is engaged in production and marketing of coal to domestic utilities, industrial users and international customers, as well as royalty income from oil & gas mineral interests. It operates through four segments: Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties and Coal Royalties. The Illinois Basin Coal Operation includes the Gibson County Coal, LLC mining complex; the Warrior Coal, LLC mining complex; the River View Coal, LLC mining complex and the Hamilton County Coal, LLC mining complex. The Appalachia Coal Operations include the Mettiki mining complex, the Tunnel Ridge mining complex and the MC Mining, LLC mining complex. The Oil & Gas Royalties includes oil and gas mineral interests held by Alliance Minerals as well as its equity interests in AllDale III. The Coal Royalties segment includes coal mineral reserves and resources owned or leased by Alliance Resource Properties.

What is price prediction 2030 for ARLP Stock?

Based on ARLP's strong financial performance, industry position, and market trends, the stock price is projected to reach $42-45 by 2030, driven by its robust revenue growth, healthy margins (82.28% gross margin), and strategic position in the energy sector. The company's solid dividend yield of 10.65% and reasonable valuation metrics (P/E of 9.32) suggest sustained investor interest, while its low debt-to-equity ratio of 25.53% provides financial flexibility for future growth.

The technical indicators and current market position around $26 show a strong base for long-term appreciation, with multiple support levels and positive momentum indicators supporting this upward trajectory.