ARLP Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how ARLP performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ARLP sees a -1.79% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.47% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.28%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
ARLP Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
613.57M
-3.61%
3.41%
Gross Margin
82.76%
0.41%
0.30%
Operating Margin
16.47%
-36.63%
-16.78%
Net Margin
14.17%
-41.95%
-17.18%
EPS
0.66
-44.07%
-14.29%
No Data Available
ARLP Earnings Analysis
Alliance Resource Partners LP Corporation (ARLP.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Coal Sales Improvement: Total and domestic coal sales shipments improved from the previous quarter, increasing 6.7% and 11.9%, respectively.
Coal Sales Performance: Coal sales volumes of 8.4 million tons were essentially in line with the 2023 quarter and increased 6.7% sequentially.
Illinois Basin Sales Increase: In the Illinois Basin, tons sold increased by 3.1% sequentially due to higher sales volumes from our River View and Hamilton mines.
Appalachia Shipment Increase: In Appalachia, tons sold increased by 16.9% in the 2024 quarter compared to the sequential quarter, primarily due to improved conditions on the Ohio River allowing for higher shipments from our Tunnel Ridge operation.
Quarterly Volume Increase: Our third quarter volumes reached 864,000 barrels of oil equivalent, representing an 11.9% increase year-over-year and a 5.8% increase sequentially, driven by new well activity on our royalty acres in the Permian Basin.
Negative
Revenue Decline Analysis: Total revenue decreased by 3.6% from $636.5 million in the year-ago period to $613.6 million.
Net Income Decline: Net income attributable to ARLP was $86.3 million, or $0.66 per unit, compared to $153.7 million, or $1.18 per unit in the year-ago period.
Coal Production Decline: Coal production of 7.8 million tons declined 7.2% year-over-year and 8.1% sequentially.
EBITDA Expense Increase: Segment adjusted EBITDA expense per ton sold increased by 11.9% year-over-year and 1.6% sequentially to $46.11 during the 2024 quarter.
Coal Sales Price Decline: Coal sales price per ton sold of $63.57 was down 2.1% year-over-year and 2.6% sequentially.
ARLP FAQs
How does ARLP typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Common Units (ARLP) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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ARLP Earning Call Sentiment
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Common Units (ARLP) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
ARLP.O
-2.16%Positive
The earnings call summary shows a decline in key financial metrics, such as revenue and net income, alongside increased operational costs. The Q&A section highlights ongoing challenges in mining conditions and uncertainty in export sales, with management avoiding clear answers on pricing. Despite a slight increase in oil and gas royalties, the overall sentiment is negative due to declining coal sales volumes, lower realized prices, and increased expenses. The lack of a share repurchase program and the cautious outlook further contribute to a negative sentiment, likely resulting in a stock price decline of -2% to -8%.
