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APLS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc (APLS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
19.300
1 Day change
-1.73%
52 Week Range
30.480
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc (APLS) does not currently present a strong buy opportunity for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While there are some positive catalysts, such as hedge fund buying and optimism around Syfovre's long-term potential, the stock's technical indicators, financial performance, and mixed analyst ratings suggest a cautious approach. Given the lack of strong proprietary trading signals and the investor's preference for long-term investment, holding off on buying until clearer positive trends emerge is advisable.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for APLS are bearish. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, the RSI is neutral at 28.51, and the moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below key support levels, with the nearest pivot at 21.177 and current price at 19.79.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data indicates a bearish sentiment with a high put-call volume ratio of 7.86, suggesting more put activity compared to calls. Implied volatility is relatively low at 51.09 with an IV percentile of 18.8, indicating limited expectation of significant price swings.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are buying, with a 132.99% increase in buying activity over the last quarter. Analysts like H.C. Wainwright and BofA are optimistic about Syfovre's long-term potential and Empaveli's commercial prospects. Gross margin improved to 85.13%, and net income losses narrowed significantly in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analyst ratings are mixed, with some lowering price targets and expressing concerns about slower-than-expected product ramps. Technical indicators are bearish, and options data reflects a negative sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue decreased by 5.94% YoY to $199.91M. However, net income improved significantly, narrowing losses by 62.16% YoY to -$58.95M. EPS also improved by 62.07% YoY to -0.47, and gross margin increased to 85.13%, up 5.38% YoY. While there are signs of operational improvement, the company is still not profitable.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. Positive ratings include H.C. Wainwright raising the price target to $48 and BofA upgrading to Buy with a $28 target, citing long-term potential. However, firms like Wedbush and Citi have lowered price targets, citing slower growth and flat pricing expectations. The consensus view is neutral to cautiously optimistic, with significant divergence in price targets.

Wall Street analysts forecast APLS stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast APLS stock price to rise
9 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 19.640
sliders
Low
19
Averages
31.69
High
48
Current: 19.640
sliders
Low
19
Averages
31.69
High
48
Mizuho
Graig Suvannavejh
Neutral
maintain
$19 -> $20
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
Reason
Mizuho
Graig Suvannavejh
Price Target
$19 -> $20
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Mizuho analyst Graig Suvannavejh raised the firm's price target on Apellis to $20 from $19 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares post the Q4 report. the company is seeing good momentum with Empaveli, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
JPMorgan
Anupam Rama
maintain
$36 -> $37
2026-03-05
Reason
JPMorgan
Anupam Rama
Price Target
$36 -> $37
2026-03-05
maintain
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Anupam Rama raised the firm's price target on Apellis to $37 from $36 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm's survey of 23 nephrologists shows Empaveli is well positioned for "meaningful" share gain.
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