AMBP Relative Valuation
AMBP's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AMBP is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 16.99 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 19.14. The fair price of Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is between 2.83 to 5.70 according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
2.83-5.70
Current Price：3.89
Fair
16.82
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
8.19
EV/EBITDA
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA. (AMBP) has a current EV/EBITDA of 8.19. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 8.11. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.85, Undervalued between 1.85 and 4.98, Fairly Valued between 11.24 and 4.98, Overvalued between 11.24 and 14.37, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.37. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 8.19 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
20.41
EV/EBIT
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA. (AMBP) has a current EV/EBIT of 20.41. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 19.71. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.97, Undervalued between 3.97 and 11.84, Fairly Valued between 27.58 and 11.84, Overvalued between 27.58 and 35.45, and Strongly Overvalued above 35.45. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 20.41 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
0.42
PS
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA. (AMBP) has a current PS of 0.42. The 5-year average PS is 0.54. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.15, Undervalued between -0.15 and 0.20, Fairly Valued between 0.89 and 0.20, Overvalued between 0.89 and 1.24, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.24. The current Forward PS of 0.42 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
4.75
P/OCF
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA. (AMBP) has a current P/OCF of 4.75. The 5-year average P/OCF is 5.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -18.48, Undervalued between -18.48 and -6.34, Fairly Valued between 17.93 and -6.34, Overvalued between 17.93 and 30.06, and Strongly Overvalued above 30.06. The current Forward P/OCF of 4.75 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
5.78
P/FCF
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA. (AMBP) has a current P/FCF of 5.78. The 5-year average P/FCF is 10.54. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -57.40, Undervalued between -57.40 and -23.43, Fairly Valued between 44.52 and -23.43, Overvalued between 44.52 and 78.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 78.49. The current Forward P/FCF of 5.78 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of -6.85. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.29 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -2482.63% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 13.61, the current P/B ratio is about -150.34% higher. Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 4.64%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 0.67% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
-6.78
P/B
Median3y
0.29
Median5y
13.61
13.19
FCF Yield
Median3y
4.64
Median5y
0.67
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for AMBP's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Ardagh Metal Packaging SA Corp (AMBP) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 8.76%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of AMBP increased by 37.44% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 1.37 to 1.89.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 8.76%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of AMBP in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.
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FAQ
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