Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Ardagh Metal Packaging SA(AMBP) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Ardagh Metal Packaging SA earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-10-23 | Pre-Market | 0.07 | 0.08 | +14.29 | 1.38B | 1.43B | +3.50 | +7.77 | - |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-07-24 | Pre-Market | 0.07 | - | - | 1.35B | 1.46B | +7.93 | -16.38 | -14.22 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-04-24 | Pre-Market | 0.01 | 0.02 | +100.00 | 1.17B | 1.27B | +8.14 | +30.43 | +36.96 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-02-27 | Pre-Market | 0.02 | 0.03 | +50.00 | 1.14B | 1.20B | +5.08 | +8.59 | -4.47 |
| FY2024Q3 | 2024-10-24 | Pre-Market | 0.07 | 0.08 | +14.29 | 1.34B | 1.31B | -2.18 | -6.68 | -11.22 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-07-25 | - | 0.07 | 0.06 | -14.29 | 1.32B | 1.26B | -4.50 | -2.40 | -1.87 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-04-25 | - | 0.01 | 0.01 | - | 1.14B | 1.14B | -0.34 | +7.51 | +6.17 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2024-02-22 | - | 0.04 | 0.01 | -75.00 | 1.11B | 1.13B | +1.91 | -9.41 | -16.79 |
| FY2023Q2 | 2023-07-27 | - | 0.06 | 0.04 | -33.33 | 1.31B | 1.26B | -4.56 | -4.18 | -4.96 |
| - | 2023-02-23 | - | 0.09 | 0.05 | -44.44 | - | - | - | -5.71 | -15.65 |
AMBP Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Ardagh Metal Packaging SA reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-23. The company achieved an EPS of 0.08, compared to analyst estimates of 0.07 by 14.29% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.43B compared to expectations of 1.38B by 3.50% .
The stock price reacted with a 7.77% one-day change and a 0.00% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Ardagh Metal Packaging SA growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
AMBP Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Ardagh Metal Packaging SA(AMBP) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.28B and an EPS of 0.02.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 1.18%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 3.56%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 2.19% . These revisions correlate with a 8.38% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Ardagh Metal Packaging SA long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between AMBP's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+1.18%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+3.56%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
+2.19%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+8.38%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:5.43B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.19
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Stock Price3.88
AMBP Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-23,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.08 (Actual) vs.0.07 (Estimate) (14.29%)
Revenue: 1.43B (Actual) vs. 1.38B (Estimate) (3.50%)
Price Reaction: 7.77%(1-Day), 0.00%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-24,Pre-Market):
EPS: (Actual) vs.0.07 (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 1.46B (Actual) vs. 1.35B (Estimate) (7.93%)
Price Reaction: -16.38%(1-Day), -14.22%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-24,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.02 (Actual) vs.0.01 (Estimate) (100.00%)
Revenue: 1.27B (Actual) vs. 1.17B (Estimate) (8.14%)
Price Reaction: 30.43%(1-Day), 36.96%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AMBP performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AMBP sees a -3.88% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -8.30% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.95%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -5.72% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -17.41% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-23
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance with upgraded EBITDA guidance, stable shipment growth, and positive geographic trends. Despite some cost concerns, management has addressed them effectively. The market strategies and shareholder return plans are well-received, and the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-24
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with increased revenue and EBITDA, particularly in the Americas. Despite some capacity constraints and macroeconomic caution, the overall guidance remains optimistic, with expected growth in key markets. The Q&A section highlights strong performance drivers and future growth potential, with no significant negative trends. The company's market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price movement prediction of 2% to 8%.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-24
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, improved leverage, and robust liquidity. The Q&A section reveals confidence in North American markets and minimal impact from inflation. Despite some concerns over Brazil and European headwinds, the overall sentiment remains positive with upgraded guidance and strong demand in key segments. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price movement prediction.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-27
The earnings call summary indicates mixed signals: strong European performance and improved EBITDA guidance contrast with challenges in the Americas and uncertainties from economic factors. The Q&A reveals positive recovery signs but also highlights concerns like tariffs and unclear management responses. The market cap suggests moderate volatility. Overall, the strong European results and optimistic guidance are offset by regional challenges and economic headwinds, leading to a neutral sentiment prediction for the stock price movement.
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-24
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: improved EBITDA guidance and strong cash flow are positive, but competitive pressures and supply chain challenges present risks. The Q&A highlights concerns about energy sector weakness and demand volatility, particularly in the Americas. While European growth is stable, US energy softness and Brazil's shipment decline temper optimism. The dividend cap and cautious guidance suggest limited financial flexibility. Given the market cap, the stock is unlikely to experience drastic movements, leading to a neutral prediction.
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-25
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with an 18% increase in adjusted EBITDA and improved liquidity. Despite a slight decline in revenue in the Americas, the overall outlook is positive with reaffirmed guidance and strategic financing to boost liquidity. The Q&A session highlighted resilience and optimism in recovery, especially in the energy sector, which is expected to rebound. The market cap suggests moderate stock movement, leading to a prediction of a positive stock price reaction in the range of 2% to 8%.
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FAQ
What were the key highlights of AMBP’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
How did AMBP’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AMBP for 2025/Q4?
How does AMBP’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
What should investors expect from AMBP’s next earnings report?