VVX Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how VVX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, VVX sees a +2.17% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -2.43% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.12%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
VVX Key Earning Data
VVX Earnings Analysis
Positive
Indo-Pacific Revenue Growth: Revenue for Q1 2025 was $1.02 billion, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase in the Indo-Pacific region.
Quarterly Adjusted EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $67 million, consistent with anticipated quarterly cadence.
Adjusted EPS Increase: Adjusted EPS was $0.98, representing a 9% increase from the prior year.
COBRA DANE Contract Award: V2X received a $62 million contract with the Space Force for operational readiness of the COBRA DANE radar system.
Space Force Award Secured: The company secured a $140 million award to support a Space Force tracking and instrumentation station at Ascension Island.
Army Training Contracts Success: V2X was awarded positions on two training service programs, completing a trifecta of premier Army training contracts.
Navy C-26 Aircraft Award: A $103 million award was received to provide engineering and maintenance for the Navy's C-26 aircraft, showcasing high aircraft readiness rates.
FBI Contract Award: V2X secured a $100 million award with the FBI to ensure aircraft remain mission-ready, demonstrating trust in V2X's capabilities.
LOGCAP Task Order Extension: The Army extended several LOGCAP task orders into June 2030, strengthening V2X's foundation.
Increased Bid Velocity: The company is experiencing increased bid velocity, planning to submit 50% more bids in 2025 compared to 2024.
Billion-Dollar Bidding Opportunities: V2X anticipates submitting bids on five opportunities valued at or above $1 billion in the next 12 months.
Capital Structure Improvement: The company has improved its capital structure, reducing interest expense and enhancing liquidity with approximately $650 million available.
Strong Cash Flow Generation: Adjusted net cash provided by operating activities is expected to be between $150 million to $170 million for the year, indicating strong cash flow generation.
Negative
Indo-Pacific Revenue Growth: Revenue growth of 10% year-over-year in the Indo-Pacific region, but overall revenue was only $1.02 billion, indicating limited growth in other regions.
Adjusted EBITDA Concerns: Adjusted EBITDA was $67 million, reflecting a margin of only 6.6%, which may raise concerns about profitability.
Program Sunset Impact: Despite a positive outlook, the company is experiencing a sunsetting of previously discussed KC-10 and T1A programs, which could impact future revenue streams.
Interest Expense Analysis: Interest expense in the first quarter was $19.7 million, which, while improved, still represents a significant cost to the company.
Net Income Performance: The company reported a net income of only $8.1 million, which, although an increase from the prior year, may not be sufficient to satisfy investor expectations given the scale of operations.
Operating Cash Flow Concerns: Adjusted net cash used by operating activities was $118.1 million, indicating a cash outflow that could raise concerns about liquidity in the short term.
Key Program Dependency Risks: The company is heavily reliant on a few key programs, with the top five programs having approximately five years of revenue runway, which may pose risks if these contracts are not renewed or extended.
VVX FAQs
How does VVX typically perform around its earnings report dates?
VVX's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +2.17% change leading up to the report and a -2.43% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is V2X Inc (VVX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
VVX Earning Call Sentiment
V2X, Inc. (VVX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

VVX.N
-0.2%