DBD Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how DBD performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, DBD sees a -4.54% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.87% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +7.91%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
DBD Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
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Gross Margin
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Operating Margin
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Net Margin
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EPS
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DBD Earnings Analysis
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Corporation (DBD.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Strong EBITDA and Cash Flow: Adjusted EBITDA reached $452 million, exceeding the high end of guidance, and free cash flow was $109 million, marking the best performance since 2016.
Strong Product Demand: The company ended the year with a product backlog of approximately $800 million, representing about six months of product revenue, indicating strong demand.
Service Revenue Breakdown: In 2024, service revenue was $2.15 billion, accounting for 55% of total revenue, with 70% of that being recurring, showcasing a stable revenue stream.
Gross Margin Improvement: Gross margin improved by 300 basis points year-over-year, ending at 25.3%, driven by pricing discipline and lean operating principles.
Share Repurchase Authorization: A new $100 million share repurchase authorization was announced, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders and enhancing shareholder value.
Negative
Revenue Growth Outlook: Revenue for 2024 was $3,750,000,000, but the company expects total revenue to be flat to up low single digits in 2025, indicating a slowdown in growth.
Foreign Exchange Impact on Revenue: The company anticipates a 3% to 4% unfavorable impact from foreign exchange, translating to an estimated $115,000,000 negative impact on revenue year over year.
Retail Segment Challenges: Despite a strong performance in 2024, the retail segment continues to face macroeconomic challenges, with significant declines noted in Europe, particularly in the UK and Ireland.
Cash Recycling Adoption Rates: The transition to cash recycling technology is still in early stages, with only 55% of shipments expected to be recyclers in the near future, indicating slow adoption rates.
Increased Operating Expenses: Operating expenses increased due to a full year of normalized incentive compensation, which negatively impacted overall cost management.
DBD FAQs
How does DBD typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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DBD Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Diebold Nixdorf Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast
DBD.N
-1.03%Positive
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with adjusted EBITDA exceeding guidance and significant debt reduction. Despite competitive pressures and market demand fluctuations, optimistic guidance on retail recovery and banking expansion in Brazil is positive. Share repurchase authorization and improved gross margins are further positives. However, management's vague responses on SCO decline and FX impact warrant caution. Given the small-cap nature, the stock is likely to react positively, but not excessively, resulting in a 'Positive' sentiment.
