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ALRS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Alerus Financial Corp (ALRS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
23.910
1 Day change
1.44%
52 Week Range
26.320
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Alerus Financial Corp (ALRS) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the technical indicators show some bullish trends and analysts have given mixed ratings with some positive price target revisions, the company's latest financial performance shows significant revenue decline and negative net income. Additionally, there are no strong proprietary trading signals or significant catalysts to suggest immediate upside potential. Given the investor's impatience and unwillingness to wait for optimal entry points, holding off on this investment is advisable for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 64.444, and the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 24.271), suggesting limited immediate upside. Key support is at 23.151.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Analyst David Long from Raymond James raised the price target to $29 and maintains a Strong Buy rating, citing improved earnings power and reduced interest rate risk. The stock has shown short-term positive sentiment with a recent 0.7% increase in trading.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Significant revenue decline in Q4 2025 (-89.38% YoY) and negative net income (-$32.58M). Mixed analyst ratings with one downgrade to Market Perform. No recent congress trading data or significant hedge fund/insider activity.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped significantly by -89.38% YoY to $7.6M. Net income was negative at -$32.58M, reflecting a massive increase in losses. EPS remained negative at -1.28. Gross margin was 0%, showing no profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Mixed ratings: Raymond James upgraded to Strong Buy with a price target increase to $29, citing improved earnings power. Keefe Bruyette raised the price target to $25 but maintained a Market Perform rating. Hovde Group downgraded the stock to Market Perform from Outperform.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALRS stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALRS stock price to rise
1 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 23.910
sliders
Low
25
Averages
26.33
High
29
Current: 23.910
sliders
Low
25
Averages
26.33
High
29
Raymond James
David Long
Strong Buy
maintain
$27 -> $29
AI Analysis
2026-01-30
Reason
Raymond James
David Long
Price Target
$27 -> $29
AI Analysis
2026-01-30
maintain
Strong Buy
Reason
Raymond James analyst David Long raised the firm's price target on Alerus Financial to $29 from $27 and keeps a Strong Buy rating on the shares following the release of what the firm says were "noisy" Q4 results. The 2026 revenue outlook was above expectations, leading the firm to increase its EPS estimates, notes the analyst, who believes the guidance may prove conservative.
Keefe Bruyette
Damon DelMonte
Market Perform
maintain
$24 -> $25
2026-01-30
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Damon DelMonte
Price Target
$24 -> $25
2026-01-30
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette analyst Damon DelMonte raised the firm's price target on Alerus Financial to $25 from $24 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares.
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