ALRS Should I Buy
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Alerus Financial Corp (ALRS) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus at this time. While the stock has some positive catalysts, such as bullish moving averages and a recent price target increase by Raymond James, the company's financial performance is weak, with a significant revenue drop and negative net income. Additionally, the lack of strong trading signals and neutral sentiment from hedge funds and insiders further supports a hold recommendation.
The stock's technical indicators are mixed. The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.0219), suggesting bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 51.56, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key support and resistance levels are Pivot: 25.244, R1: 26.108, S1: 24.381, R2: 26.641, S2: 23.848.
Bullish moving averages.
Analyst David Long from Raymond James raised the price target to $29, citing improved earnings power and reduced interest rate risk.
Weak financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue down -89.38% YoY and negative net income.
No recent news or significant hedge fund/insider activity.
Stock trend analysis indicates potential short-term downside (-3.35% in the next day, -3.37% in the next week).
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped significantly (-89.38% YoY), net income was negative (-$33.05M), and EPS remained negative (-1.29). Gross margin was 0%.
Analyst sentiment is mixed. Raymond James maintains a Strong Buy rating with a price target of $29, citing improved earnings power. Keefe Bruyette raised the price target to $25 but kept a Market Perform rating. Hovde Group downgraded the stock to Market Perform earlier in January 2026.
