ALMS Valuation

Alumis Inc

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4.780

-0.12(-2.449%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ALMS Relative Valuation

ALMS's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ALMS is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Alumis Inc (ALMS) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 37.35 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -1.47. The fair price of Alumis Inc (ALMS) is between to according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

Current Price：4.69

Fair

-1.46

Trailing

Forward

-0.19

EV/EBITDA

Alumis Inc. (ALMS) has a current EV/EBITDA of -0.19. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -1.48. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -5.16, Undervalued between -5.16 and -3.32, Fairly Valued between 0.37 and -3.32, Overvalued between 0.37 and 2.21, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.21. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -0.19 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-0.16

EV/EBIT

Alumis Inc. (ALMS) has a current EV/EBIT of -0.16. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -1.49. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -5.25, Undervalued between -5.25 and -3.37, Fairly Valued between 0.39 and -3.37, Overvalued between 0.39 and 2.26, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.26. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -0.16 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

37.35

Alumis Inc. (ALMS) has a current PS of 37.35. The 5-year average PS is 14.19. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -44.47, Undervalued between -44.47 and -15.14, Fairly Valued between 43.52 and -15.14, Overvalued between 43.52 and 72.85, and Strongly Overvalued above 72.85. The current Forward PS of 37.35 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-1.42

P/OCF

Alumis Inc. (ALMS) has a current P/OCF of -1.42. The 5-year average P/OCF is -0.97. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.92, Undervalued between -2.92 and -1.95, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and -1.95, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.97, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.97. The current Forward P/OCF of -1.42 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Alumis Inc. (ALMS) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is -1.50. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.63, Undervalued between -3.63 and -2.57, Fairly Valued between -0.44 and -2.57, Overvalued between -0.44 and 0.62, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.62. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Overvalued range.

Alumis Inc (ALMS) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.32 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 222.38% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.32, the current P/B ratio is about 222.38% higher. Alumis Inc (ALMS) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -68.90%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -71.37%, the current FCF yield is approximately -3.47% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -71.37% , the current FCF yield is about -3.47% lower.

1.05

P/B

Median3y

0.32

Median5y

0.32

-68.90

FCF Yield

Median3y

-71.37

Median5y

-71.37

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ALMS's competitors is 15.00, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Alumis Inc Corp (ALMS) exhibits a P/S ratio of 37.35, which is 148.94% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of %, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

Emergent BioSolutions Inc

0.49

-44.68%

464.69M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ALMS increased by 0.00% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Unknown from 0.00 to 0.00.

The secondary factor is the Unknown, contributed 0.00%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ALMS in the past 1 year is driven by Unknown.