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ALMS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Alumis Inc (ALMS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
22.030
1 Day change
9.01%
52 Week Range
30.600
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Alumis Inc (ALMS) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong analyst ratings, positive clinical trial results, insider buying trends, and promising growth potential in the psoriasis treatment market outweigh the short-term technical indicators and financial setbacks. The SwingMax signal further supports a buy decision.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively contracting, RSI is neutral at 60.072, and moving averages are converging, indicating no strong trend. The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 26.208) with a pivot at 24.534. Short-term technicals are neutral to slightly bullish.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • Insider buying increased by 586.17% over the last month.

  • Strong analyst ratings with price targets ranging from $32 to $50, reflecting confidence in the company's lead asset envudeucitinib.

  • Positive Phase 3 clinical trial results for envudeucitinib in psoriasis.

  • SwingMax signal on 2026-03-26 with a 1.71% price increase since then.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Financial performance shows a reduced net loss but still negative EPS (-0.

  • and net income (-$92.93M) for Q4

  • Revenue for fiscal year 2025 fell short of market expectations.

  • Pre-market and post-market price changes indicate slight downward pressure.

Financial Performance

Alumis reported a reduced net loss of $243.3M for FY 2025, an improvement from $294.2M in 2024. Revenue for FY 2025 was $24.05M, missing expectations by $0.23M. Q4 2025 revenue was flat YoY, while EPS dropped by 48.85% YoY. The company holds $308.5M in cash and marketable securities, supported by a $300M upsized public offering.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are overwhelmingly positive on ALMS, with multiple firms initiating or maintaining Buy/Strong Buy ratings and raising price targets. The highest price target is $50, and the lowest is $32, reflecting confidence in the company's potential to capture market share in psoriasis treatment.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALMS stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALMS stock price to rise
7 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 20.210
sliders
Low
32
Averages
37.57
High
50
Current: 20.210
sliders
Low
32
Averages
37.57
High
50
Raymond James
Strong Buy
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-03-30
New
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-30
New
maintain
Strong Buy
Reason
Raymond James keeps a Strong Buy rating on Alumis (ALMS) following what appears to be a major success at AAD, where Phase 3 data showed envudeucitinib delivering efficacy broadly comparable to Takeda's (TAK) zasocitinib and Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) icotrokinra, with a more favorable safety profile. Higher adverse event rates and safety concerns for zasocitinib suggest envu holds a competitive advantage, supporting expectations for share appreciation, the analyst tells investors in a research note, adding that the firm expects Alumis shares to trade up on the news. Shares of Alumis are down 11.7% to $21.90 in late morning trading.
Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer
Outperform
maintain
$50 -> $55
2026-03-30
New
Reason
Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer
Price Target
$50 -> $55
2026-03-30
New
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer raised the firm's price target on Alumis to $55 from $50 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm sees the three new orals for psoriasis - Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) Ico, Takeda's (TAK) Zaso, and Alumis' (ALMS) Envu - as having similar efficacy, with a benefit towards the latter on quality of life and with a potentially tougher trial population than Zaso. Both Alumis and Takeda clearly demonstrated biologic-like efficacy, and safety which are comparable to J&J's recently approved icotrokinra. Oppenheimer sees this weekend's readout as very positive for Alumis, both directly in PsO, as well as into the Q3 Phase 2 readout in systemic lupus erythematosus.
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