Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ALMS has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
ALMS stock price ended at $5.575 on Monday, after rising1%
The Alumis Inc stock price increased by 1% on the last trading day (17 Nov 2025), rising from 5.55 to 5.575. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.40% , ranging from a day low of $5.46 to a day high of 5.7. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 22.26% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -545.56K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.18M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 6.56M.
ALMS Technical Signals
ALMS(Alumis Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 6 sell signals now. The current trend is an uptrend starting from 2025-11-07. The total price change during this trend is +18.11%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume droped, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of ALMS over the last 5 trading days is 6.82M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
ALMS Moving Average Analysis
Alumis Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, November 18, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $5.85, and $6.35. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $4.25, and $3.75. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
ALMS Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Alumis Inc(ALMS) as of 14 Nov 2025 is 10.62%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 5.28 to 5.52. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
6
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.625
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
1.015
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.248
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
5.575
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 250-day SMA
--
Bullish
6 Bearish Signals
6 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Alumis Inc (ALMS) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $0.00 and $0.00.
Alumis Inc Stock Forecast 2026
ALMS Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Alumis Inc(ALMS), our algorithm predicts ALMS's 1-month price at $4.34, with an -21.37%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.78%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Alumis Inc (ALMS.O) stock, as of Sunday, November 16, 2025 , forecasts a -21.37% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with NINE.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.78%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
ALMS
No Data
NINE
Down: -21.37%Similarity: 94.78%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
NINE.N
94.78%
-21.37%
WM.N
94.62%
+2.86%
PUMP.N
94.40%
+3.12%
WYY.A
94.24%
+4.57%
LEE.O
94.10%
+0.23%
IRMD.O
94.09%
-3.64%
OVV.N
94.08%
+14.04%
HNRG.O
94.03%
-17.72%
RIGL.O
94.02%
-4.05%
ALMS Seasonality Analysis
Based on ALMS's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in November is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ALMS. In contrast,Marchoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Alumis Inc (ALMS.O) stock in March has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while January has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Alumis Inc. (ALMS)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Alumis Inc (ALMS.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ALMS has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Alumis Inc (ALMS.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Alumis Inc (ALMS.O) stock in March has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while January has the lowest probability (0.00%).
How has Alumis Inc. (ALMS)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
ALMS's stock price fell by -40.90% in 2024,decreased by -32.18% in 2025, and went by in
Which bullish technical signals does ALMS have?
Bullish technical signals of ALMS include: AO_5_34 > 0, MOM_10 > 0, MACD_12_26_9 > 0, close > fibonacci_R1, 5-day SMA crosses above 250-day SMA.
Is ALMS a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
ALMS has 5 buy signals and 6 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for ALMS is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of ALMS.
What is the trend of Alumis Inc (ALMS)'s moving average?
Alumis Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of November 18 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal.
What is price prediction for ALMS stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Alumis Inc (ALMS.O) stock, as of November 16 2025, forecasts a -21.37% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with NINE stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.78%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Alumis Inc (ALMS) Stock?
In , Alumis Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $NaN. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $NaN and a high of $NaN.
What is price prediction 2030 for Alumis Inc (ALMS) Stock?
In , Alumis Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $NaN. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $NaN and a high of $NaN.