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ALGT Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Allegiant Travel Co (ALGT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
90.730
1 Day change
-0.30%
52 Week Range
118.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/29
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

ALGT is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 to deploy. The stock has a bullish technical setup, but analyst targets have been cut recently, insiders are heavy sellers, and there is no fresh news or financial-quarter catalyst to support an aggressive long-term entry. With no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax signal, this looks like a hold rather than a buy at the current price.

Technical Analysis

Price is 88.95, below the prior close of 90.73 and near the R1 level at 89.847, showing short-term hesitation after a recent advance. The MACD histogram is positive and expanding, which supports upward momentum. The moving averages are bullish with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, confirming an established uptrend. RSI_6 at 73.531 is elevated, suggesting the stock is already extended rather than offering a clean beginner-friendly entry. Overall, the trend is bullish, but the current spot is not especially attractive after the recent run.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is bullish. Put-call ratios below 1 for both open interest and volume show more call activity than put activity. Option volume today was elevated versus the 30-day average, and the current reading suggests traders are positioning for upside. Implied volatility is high at 73.56 with an IV percentile of 89.68, indicating rich option pricing and heightened expectations, but the directional bias remains positive.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
11

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Bullish price structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200", "MACD histogram is positive and expanding", "Options flow favors calls over puts", "Hedge funds are buying, with buying up 507.50% over the last quarter", "Stock pattern analysis suggests a positive 1-month drift of 4.12%"]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["No news in the recent week, so no fresh event-driven catalyst", "Insiders are selling heavily, with selling up 150894.53% over the last month", "Analyst price targets have been cut recently by Citi and UBS", "UBS and Citi both keep Neutral ratings, limiting conviction", "RSI is elevated, so the stock is not a fresh low-risk entry"]

Financial Performance

No latest-quarter financial snapshot was available because the provided financial data returned an error. As a result, there is no usable recent-quarter revenue or earnings trend to confirm fundamental momentum. The latest-quarter season cannot be determined from the provided data.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed to cautious. UBS raised its target to $93 from $90 but kept a Neutral rating on 2026-03-23. Citi cut its target to $98 from $114 and also kept Neutral on 2026-03-20. UBS previously lowered its target to $90 from $102 on 2026-03-16, while Evercore ISI was more constructive on 2026-03-12 with an Outperform rating and a $120 target, down from $125. Overall, Wall Street is split, but the recent trend is downward target revisions with neutral positioning, which is a mild negative.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALGT stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALGT stock price to rise
5 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 90.730
sliders
Low
65
Averages
104.75
High
130
Current: 90.730
sliders
Low
65
Averages
104.75
High
130
UBS
Neutral
maintain
$90 -> $93
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$90 -> $93
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on Allegiant Travel (ALGT) to $93 from $90 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Jet fuel prices have risen toward $5/gallon on the Gulf Coast, prompting a preference for higher-quality airlines like Delta Air Lines (DAL) and United Airlines (UAL) with stronger margins, while carriers with idiosyncratic demand drivers like Southwest Airlines (LUV) may also fare relatively well, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Despite March RASM gains largely driven by favorable demand-supply conditions, elevated fuel costs are expected to weigh on Q2 earnings, even as fare increases contribute more to revenue, the firm says.
Citi
Neutral
downgrade
$114 -> $98
2026-03-20
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$114 -> $98
2026-03-20
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on Allegiant Travel to $98 from $114 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm, which is updating estimates for higher fuel prices, sees downside risk to Q1, Q2 and 2026 estimates at nearly all airlines in its coverage. However, the analyst adds that "downside to estimates does not necessitate downside to stocks across the board" as it argues that the fuel shock is likely to keep driving a "fuel wedge" that drives meaningful relative outperformance at some airlines.
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