ALGT Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how ALGT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ALGT sees a +1.28% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.61% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.22%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
ALGT Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
627.71M
2.73%
11.65%
Gross Margin
61.04%
8.98%
9.35%
Operating Margin
10.22%
221.38%
-427.56%
Net Margin
-34.45%
10665.62%
426.76%
EPS
-12.00
-11900.00%
485.37%
No Data Available
ALGT Earnings Analysis
Allegiant Travel Co Corporation (ALGT.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Operating Margin Improvement: Achieved an adjusted airline only operating margin of over 13% for December, marking a 6.5% increase from the previous year, driven by a 16% increase in December capacity.
Operational Excellence Achieved: Controllable completion rate of 99.7% was maintained during peak holiday operations, reflecting operational excellence despite significant growth.
Q4 Airline Revenue Surge: Total airline revenue for the fourth quarter was nearly $610 million, slightly up year over year, significantly outperforming expectations due to a strong holiday period and recovery in hurricane-impacted destinations.
Airline Segment Financial Performance: The airline segment generated full year 2024 net income of $107.5 million, resulting in an airline only earnings per share of $5.84, showcasing strong financial performance.
2025 Earnings Growth Projection: Projected full year 2025 airline earnings per share of $9 suggests an improvement of over 50% compared to 2024, indicating strong growth potential.
Negative
Airline Revenue Decline: Total airline revenue decreased by approximately 2.6% year-over-year to $2.44 billion, despite a 1.1% increase in total ASMs, indicating a decline in revenue generation efficiency.
Airline Segment Net Income: The airline segment reported a consolidated net income of $45.7 million for the full year, significantly lower than the previous year's performance, reflecting challenges in profitability amidst rising operational costs.
Impairment and Financial Strain: A non-cash impairment of $322 million was recorded in the fourth quarter related to the Sunseeker entity, highlighting significant financial strain and the need for strategic divestiture.
Cost Performance Analysis: Adjusted non-fuel unit costs slightly underperformed expectations, coming in at $0.0829, driven by increased stock compensation and maintenance expenses, which could impact future profitability.
TRASM Decline Forecast: The first quarter guidance indicates a TRASM decline of over 6%, a stark contrast to the previous quarter's performance, suggesting potential revenue challenges ahead.
ALGT FAQs
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ALGT Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Allegiant Travel Q4 2024 beats EPS forecast
ALGT.O
-5.04%Positive
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there are positive indicators such as improved margins, increased capacity, and a strong shareholder return plan, there are significant concerns. These include economic pressures, potential fuel price volatility, and competitive pressures. The Q&A session revealed management's cautious optimism but also highlighted uncertainties, particularly around Sunseeker and fuel costs. The absence of clear guidance on some issues adds to the uncertainty. Overall, the sentiment is balanced, leading to a neutral prediction for the stock price movement.
