ALCO Valuation

Alico Inc

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32.270

-0.08(-0.247%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ALCO Relative Valuation

ALCO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ALCO is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Alico Inc (ALCO) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 9.51 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of -7.47. The fair price of Alico Inc (ALCO) is between 5.87 to 15.03 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 32.78 USD , Alico Inc is Overvalued By 118.11%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

5.87-15.03

Current Price：32.78

118.11%

Overvalued

-3.58

Trailing

Forward

40.52

EV/EBITDA

Alico Inc. (ALCO) has a current EV/EBITDA of 40.52. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -17.61. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -321.63, Undervalued between -321.63 and -169.62, Fairly Valued between 134.41 and -169.62, Overvalued between 134.41 and 286.42, and Strongly Overvalued above 286.42. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 40.52 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-5.37

EV/EBIT

Alico Inc. (ALCO) has a current EV/EBIT of -5.37. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -37.27. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -275.86, Undervalued between -275.86 and -156.56, Fairly Valued between 82.03 and -156.56, Overvalued between 82.03 and 201.32, and Strongly Overvalued above 201.32. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -5.37 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

9.49

Alico Inc. (ALCO) has a current PS of 9.49. The 5-year average PS is 3.13. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.22, Undervalued between -0.22 and 1.46, Fairly Valued between 4.81 and 1.46, Overvalued between 4.81 and 6.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.49. The current Forward PS of 9.49 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

-116.67

P/OCF

Alico Inc. (ALCO) has a current P/OCF of -116.67. The 5-year average P/OCF is -0.13. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -33.04, Undervalued between -33.04 and -16.58, Fairly Valued between 16.32 and -16.58, Overvalued between 16.32 and 32.77, and Strongly Overvalued above 32.77. The current Forward P/OCF of -116.67 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Alico Inc. (ALCO) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

Alico Inc (ALCO) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.90. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.91 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 109.28% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.98, the current P/B ratio is about 94.35% higher. Alico Inc (ALCO) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -8.39%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -14.09%, the current FCF yield is approximately -40.45% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -11.90% , the current FCF yield is about -29.48% lower.

1.89

P/B

Median3y

0.91

Median5y

0.98

-8.41

FCF Yield

Median3y

-14.09

Median5y

-11.90

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ALCO's competitors is 2.31, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Alico Inc Corp (ALCO) exhibits a P/S ratio of 9.49, which is 310.54% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -0.73%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Organigram Global Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ALCO increased by 9.98% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -88.41 to -619.76.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -0.73%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ALCO in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-0.73%

18.11M → 17.98M

Revenue Growth

601.01%

-88.41 → -619.76

Margin Expansion

-590.30%

0.36 → -1.75

P/E Change

9.98%