ALCO Overview

Alico's Quarterly Performance: Alico (ALCO) reported a quarterly loss of $1.1 per share, significantly worse than the expected loss of $0.39, marking an earnings surprise of -182.05%. The company has struggled to meet consensus EPS estimates over the last four quarters.

Revenue Insights: Despite the loss, Alico's revenues for the quarter reached $0.8 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 167.33%, although this is a decline from $0.94 million a year ago. The company has surpassed revenue estimates twice in the last four quarters.

Stock Outlook and Industry Context: Alico shares have increased by 22.4% since the start of the year, outperforming the S&P 500. However, the stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market, influenced by the broader Agriculture - Operations industry, which ranks in the bottom 16% of Zacks industries.

Limoneira's Upcoming Report: Limoneira (LMNR), another company in the same industry, is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.12 per share, with revenues projected to decline by 14.7% year-over-year to $37.4 million. The consensus EPS estimate for Limoneira has remained unchanged over the past month.

Stocks Added to Zacks Rank #5: Equinox Gold (EQX), Cantaloupe (CTLP), and Alico (ALCO) have been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List due to significant downward revisions in their earnings estimates over the past 60 days.

Equinox Gold: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Equinox Gold's current year earnings has been revised down by approximately 26.5%.

Cantaloupe: Cantaloupe's current year earnings estimate has been adjusted downward by 6.7%.

Alico: Alico's earnings estimate for the current year has seen a downward revision of nearly 5.8%.

Company Transformation: Alico, Inc. has completed its final major citrus harvest and is transitioning into a diversified land management company, focusing on land development, conservation projects, and alternative agricultural uses to create more stable revenue streams.

Financial Outlook: Despite a 41% decline in citrus operations revenue, Alico's land sales are exceeding targets, and the company maintains a fiscal 2025 EBITDA guidance of $20 million, indicating potential growth opportunities for investors.

Earnings Call Overview: Alico, Inc. held its Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call on August 13, 2025, featuring key executives including CEO John Kiernan and CFO Brad Heine, discussing the company's financial performance and future outlook.

Forward-Looking Statements Caution: The call included a reminder about forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, with references to detailed factors affecting results available in the company's SEC filings.

Market Performance: Wall Street experienced a rally following July's inflation data, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 reaching record highs. The JETS ETF surged due to a spike in airline fares, while investors anticipate interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.

Political Developments: President Trump exerted pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell regarding renovation expenses and defended tariffs, while appointing E.J. Antoni as the new Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, who may change the frequency of job report publications.