Should You Buy Alico Inc (ALCO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
ALCO is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who is unwilling to wait for a better entry. The stock is technically extended (overbought) and sitting just below near-term resistance, while fundamentals from the latest quarter remain weak (shrinking revenue and widening losses). With limited upside to the lone published price target ($42) from the current pre-market ~$41.19 and earnings coming soon (2026-02-04), the risk/reward for buying immediately is not attractive. Best action: hold off (do not buy now).
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: Bullish trend structure with moving averages stacked positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an ongoing uptrend.
Momentum: RSI_6 at ~83.75 signals an overbought condition—often associated with short-term pullbacks or choppy consolidation rather than clean upside continuation.
MACD: Histogram is positive (0.368) but “positively contracting,” implying bullish momentum is fading.
Key levels: Pre-market ~41.19 is very close to R1 (41.212). A clean break above R1 would target R2 (~42.363), but current positioning near resistance + overbought RSI makes a poor immediate entry. Support to watch is the pivot (~39.35), then S1 (~37.49).
Pattern-based short-horizon bias (provided): 70% chance of -0.26% next day and -2.52% next week; modest +1.83% next month.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
No signal on given stock today.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent analyst activity (most recent provided): On 2025-11-26, Roth Capital (Gerry Sweeney) maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target to $42 from $35, pointing to a valuation of Alico’s assets (~$700M) minus projected cash burn (discounted).
Wall Street-style pros vs cons from the available coverage:
- Pros: supportive Buy rating; thesis tied to asset value and real estate transition.
- Cons: price target upside is limited from the current pre-market (~$41.19 vs $42 target), and the company’s latest quarter shows weakening fundamentals, which can pressure sentiment if the transition takes longer or burns more cash than expected.
Influential/political activity check: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral.
Wall Street analysts forecast ALCO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALCO is 42 USD with a low forecast of 42 USD and a high forecast of 42 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast ALCO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALCO is 42 USD with a low forecast of 42 USD and a high forecast of 42 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 40.190
Current: 40.190
