Should You Buy American Airlines Group Inc (AAL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
AAL is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who wants to act immediately. The stock is technically washed-out (oversold), but momentum is still deteriorating, options positioning is strongly defensive (put-heavy), hedge funds have been increasing selling, and the latest quarter showed a sharp profitability drop despite modest revenue growth.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Given the lack of a proprietary buy signal plus negative near-term fundamentals/positioning, the best action is to avoid initiating a new long-term position at this time ("sell" = do not buy / stay out).
Technical Analysis
Pre-market price is ~13.66, still below the key pivot (14.764), indicating the trend is currently bearish. MACD histogram is negative (-0.243) and expanding lower, which signals downside momentum is strengthening rather than stabilizing. RSI(6) is extremely oversold at 18.57, which can produce short bounces, but by itself does not confirm a durable bottom. Key levels: first support S1=13.756 (already being tested/near) and S2=13.132 (next downside area). Resistance levels overhead are R1=15.772 and R2=16.396; the stock would need to reclaim the pivot area (~14.76) to improve the technical picture. Pattern-based probabilities provided also lean negative over 1 week to 1 month (-0.9% next week; -3.16% next month).