Will Newmont's Strong Free Cash Flow Trend Continue into Q4?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 03 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Newmont's Financial Performance: Newmont Corporation reported a record quarterly free cash flow of $1.6 billion in Q3 2025, more than doubling year-over-year, driven by a 40% increase in net cash from operating activities. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of free cash flow exceeding $1 billion.
Future Cash Flow Concerns: Despite strong performance, Newmont has cautioned about potential declines in cash flow for Q4 due to increased spending on projects and severance payments, although its solid balance sheet supports ongoing growth and debt commitments.
Peer Comparisons: Barrick Mining Corporation and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited also reported significant increases in free cash flow for Q3, with Barrick at $1.5 billion and Agnico Eagle at $1.2 billion, reflecting higher gold prices and operational efficiencies.
Stock Performance and Valuation: Newmont's shares have risen 143.5% year-to-date, outperforming the industry average, and it currently trades at a forward earnings multiple of 12.8, which is below the industry average, indicating potential value for investors.
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Analyst Views on B
Wall Street analysts forecast B stock price to rise
17 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 45.810
Low
44.31
Averages
58.14
High
71.00
Current: 45.810
Low
44.31
Averages
58.14
High
71.00
About B
Barrick Mining Corporation is a gold and copper producer, which is engaged in the production and sale of gold and copper, as well as related activities, such as exploration and mine development. The Company has ownership interests in producing gold mines that are located in Argentina, Canada, Cote d’Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Dominican Republic, Papua New Guinea, Tanzania and the United States. Its copper mines are located in Zambia, Chile and Saudi Arabia. Its operations include Nevada Gold Mines, Bulyanhulu, Jabal Sayid, Kibali, Loulo-Gounkoto, Lumwana, North Mara, Porgera, Pueblo Viejo, Veladero and Zaldivar. Its Bulyanhulu operation is located in north-west Tanzania, over 55 kilometers (km) south of Lake Victoria and 150 km southwest of the city of Mwanza. The Jabal Sayid copper operation is located approximately 350 km north-east of Jeddah in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The Lumwana copper mine is a conventional open pit operation.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Earnings Beat: Newmont reported fourth-quarter revenue of $6.81 billion, a 20.5% increase year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by $560 million, with adjusted EPS at $2.52, up 80%, reflecting higher-than-expected production at its Cadia and Yanachocha mines.
- Joint Venture Dynamics: Newmont's partnership with Barrick Mining is under scrutiny as Barrick plans to spin off its North American mining assets into an IPO, with Newmont seeking to ensure its interests in the Nevada Gold Mine are protected, highlighting its focus on future asset value.
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- Stock Volatility: Barrick's stock fell 13% at its lowest point by Friday morning, reflecting market sensitivity to precious metal price fluctuations and leaving investors confused about future trends.
- Gold Price Decline: Despite typically rising during geopolitical crises, gold prices are on track for their first weekly decline in nearly five weeks, trading below $5,100 per ounce due to a strengthening U.S. dollar, which has dampened demand.
- Future Outlook: Barrick projects a decrease in gold production for 2026, estimating between 2.9 million to 3.25 million ounces compared to 3.26 million ounces in 2025, yet the company remains in a strong financial position and plans to spin off its North American gold assets to enhance shareholder value by year-end.
See More
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- Investment Strategy in Turbulent Markets: During times of market turbulence and uncertainty, many investors turn to high dividend stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and reward shareholders with substantial dividends, thereby enhancing investor confidence and market stability.
- Analyst Rating Overview: Analysts have provided accurate ratings for three high-yielding stocks in the materials sector, including Mosaic Co (NYSE:MOS), Kronos Worldwide, Inc. (NYSE:KRO), and Barrick Mining Corp (NYSE:B), indicating their attractiveness in the current market environment.
- Attraction of High Dividend Stocks: High dividend stocks serve as a safe haven for investors due to their stable cash flows and return capabilities, especially during economic fluctuations, leading to a significant increase in demand for such stocks.
- Boost in Investor Confidence: As market attention on high dividend stocks rises, investor confidence in these companies strengthens, potentially driving their stock prices up and attracting more capital into the materials sector.
See More
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- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.94%, reaching a 3.25-month low, reflecting investor concerns over escalating tensions in Iran, which may impact future investment decisions and market stability.
- Surge in Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices rose over 4% to an 8.5-month high due to threats from Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz, intensifying fears of energy supply disruptions and potential inflationary pressures in the economy.
- Natural Gas Price Spike: European natural gas prices surged more than 22% to a three-year high after Qatar's Ras Laffan plant was targeted by an Iranian drone attack, posing significant risks to global liquefied natural gas supply and market stability.
- Economic Data Expectations: This week, the ADP employment change is expected to increase by 50,000, while the ISM services index is projected to slip slightly, with markets closely monitoring these indicators to assess economic health and potential implications for Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions.
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- Gold and Silver Price Crash: As of the latest report, gold prices dropped from $5,416 on Monday to $5,102, a decline of 3.9%; similarly, silver prices fell from $96.10 to $82.46, down 6.1%, directly impacting Barrick's market performance.
- Strengthening Dollar Impact: The strengthening U.S. dollar, viewed as a safe haven, reduces the amount of dollars needed to purchase gold and silver, leading to declining prices, which puts pressure on Barrick Mining's profit outlook.
- Future Outlook: Despite the current decline in gold and silver prices, analysts expect Barrick's earnings to grow nearly 16% next year, with a price-to-earnings ratio just above 17, suggesting that the stock may be approaching a reasonable buy level, prompting investors to consider long-term opportunities.
See More
