We Did The Math MDYG Can Go To $96
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 19 2025
0mins
Should l Buy TOL?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analysis: The SPDR S&P 400 Mid Cap Growth ETF (MDYG) has an implied analyst target price of $96.14, indicating an 11.13% potential upside from its current trading price of $86.51.
Stock Performance Insights: Notable underlying holdings like Toll Brothers Inc., Permian Resources Corp, and Valaris Ltd show significant upside potential based on analyst targets, raising questions about the validity and optimism of these projections.
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Analyst Views on TOL
Wall Street analysts forecast TOL stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 141.940
Low
110.00
Averages
150.00
High
181.00
Current: 141.940
Low
110.00
Averages
150.00
High
181.00
About TOL
Toll Brothers, Inc. is a builder of luxury homes. The Company builds new homes and communities in over 60 markets across the United States, serving first-time, move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The Company also operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, smart home technology, landscape, and building components manufacturing businesses. It designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges financing for an array of luxury residential single-family detached, attached, master-planned, resort-style golf, and urban low-, mid-, and high-rise communities. It also develops and operates urban and suburban for-rent apartment and student housing communities (Apartment Living) primarily through joint ventures. These projects are located in various metropolitan areas throughout the country and have generally been operated or developed with partners under the brand names Toll Brothers Apartment Living and Toll Brothers Campus Living.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Toll Brothers Announces Final Home Purchase Opportunity
- Final Opportunity in Luxury Community: Toll Brothers announces limited availability of luxury homes at Santa Rosa Valley Estates in California, with prices starting at $3.18 million, offering 2- to 3-acre equestrian home sites to meet high-end buyer demand.
- Home Design and Features: Homes in the community can reach up to 6,000 square feet, featuring 5 to 6 bedrooms and 5.5 to 6.5 bathrooms, with select designs including multigenerational living suites and detached casitas, enhancing family living flexibility.
- Prime Location: Santa Rosa Valley Estates not only provides a serene living environment but is also conveniently located near upscale shopping, dining, freeways, and excellent schools, attracting numerous buyers and increasing the area's real estate value.
- Design Studio Experience: The Toll Brothers Design Studio offers a one-stop shopping experience for homebuyers, allowing them to choose from a wide array of personalized options with the assistance of professional design consultants to create their dream home.
See More
Oklo Appoints New Directors to Accelerate Nuclear Energy Development
- Board Expansion: Oklo has appointed four new directors, including Dr. Mark Peters and David Christian, to enhance the company's capability in executing complex projects in the nuclear and infrastructure sectors, thereby accelerating its positioning in the advanced nuclear energy field.
- Management Restructuring: Oklo is transitioning Chief Technology Officer Pat Schweiger to a senior technical advisor role, aiming to leverage his expertise in fast reactor design to support rapid growth across its business units focused on power, fuel, and isotope production.
- Independent Director Appointment: Michael Thompson has been appointed as Lead Independent Director, expected to provide independent perspectives and strategic guidance to the board, helping Oklo maintain competitiveness in the rapidly growing nuclear energy market.
- Business Unit Development: Oklo is establishing multiple independent business units focused on power, fuel, and isotopes, with plans to achieve more efficient operations and faster market responses in the coming years to meet global demand for clean energy.
See More
Toll Brothers Unveils New Luxury Model Homes at Grand Opening
- Model Home Grand Opening: Toll Brothers will host a grand opening event on April 18 at Ladera Trails in San Tan Valley, Arizona, showcasing two new luxury home designs to attract potential buyers and the public.
- Luxury Design and Space: The new model homes range from 3,124 to 3,692 square feet, offering up to 4 bedrooms and 5 bathrooms, with prices starting in the mid-$800,000s, catering to the high-end market's demand for luxury living.
- Rich Community Amenities: The community features resort-style amenities, including a pool, pickleball courts, and hiking trails, enhancing the living experience and appealing to buyers seeking a high-quality lifestyle.
- Personalized Design Services: The Toll Brothers Design Studio provides a one-stop shopping experience for customers to select home designs according to their preferences, further enhancing the brand's competitive edge in the market.
See More
Toll Brothers Opens New Community in Texas
- Community Launch: Toll Brothers has unveiled its new community, Toll Brothers at Midline, in Webster, Texas, featuring 25 single-family and two-story homes ranging from 3,386 to 4,651 square feet, priced from the upper $600,000s, catering to the luxury market.
- Premium Amenities: Located within the expansive thousand-acre Midline master plan, residents will enjoy exclusive access to upcoming amenities like The Midline Club, which includes a luxurious pool, event lawn, and scenic trails, enhancing the living experience and attracting high-end buyers.
- Strong Educational Resources: Children in the community will attend the highly-rated Clear Creek Independent School District, including P.H. Greene Elementary and Clear Brook High School, further increasing the area's appeal to families looking to purchase homes.
- Personalized Design Services: The Toll Brothers Design Studio offers a one-stop shopping experience for homebuyers, allowing them to choose from a wide array of options with the assistance of professional design consultants, enhancing customer satisfaction and driving sales.
See More
Market Volatility Following US-Iran Ceasefire
- Market Reaction: Following President Trump's announcement of a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, Dow futures fell nearly 500 points, and WTI crude oil prices surged back above $100 per barrel, indicating the market's sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Earnings Highlights: Goldman Sachs reported better-than-expected first-quarter earnings, with stronger investment banking revenues and record equities trading, although fixed-income trading was a blemish; the stock remains high after a 16% rebound from mid-March lows, reflecting market interest in its future deal pipeline.
- Rating Downgrade: Goldman downgraded Best Buy from buy to sell, lowering the price target from $76 to $59, as analysts expressed concerns about the impact of high memory prices on computer sales and ongoing struggles in appliances, which may jeopardize the sustainability of its dividend.
- Sector Upgrade: Goldman upgraded Williams-Sonoma from hold to buy, citing a 14% drop in share price as a good entry point, with analysts optimistic about steady improvements at West Elm and plans for new store openings, indicating confidence in future growth.
See More
Evercore ISI Upgrades Homebuilder Stocks Amid Decline
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Evercore ISI analyst Stephen Kim has raised optimism for the homebuilding sector despite a ~15% decline in builder stocks since the downgrade, indicating a potential market recovery.
- Upgrades Issued: PulteGroup (PHM), Toll Brothers (TOL), and Masco (MAS) have been upgraded to Outperform due to their relative resilience amid current industry challenges, suggesting a strategic advantage.
- Market Signal: Kim highlighted that the homebuilders hit a historic buy signal last week when median small-cap builders traded below 0.80x tangible book value, indicating that much of the negative news has been priced in.
- Interest Rate Expectations: Even as Evercore ISI raised its estimate for the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to 6.25% for FY2026, it reduced earnings estimates for homebuilders, reflecting the ongoing challenges in the market.
See More
Toll Brothers Announces Final Home Purchase Opportunity
- Final Opportunity in Luxury Community: Toll Brothers announces limited availability of luxury homes at Santa Rosa Valley Estates in California, with prices starting at $3.18 million, offering 2- to 3-acre equestrian home sites to meet high-end buyer demand.
- Home Design and Features: Homes in the community can reach up to 6,000 square feet, featuring 5 to 6 bedrooms and 5.5 to 6.5 bathrooms, with select designs including multigenerational living suites and detached casitas, enhancing family living flexibility.
- Prime Location: Santa Rosa Valley Estates not only provides a serene living environment but is also conveniently located near upscale shopping, dining, freeways, and excellent schools, attracting numerous buyers and increasing the area's real estate value.
- Design Studio Experience: The Toll Brothers Design Studio offers a one-stop shopping experience for homebuyers, allowing them to choose from a wide array of personalized options with the assistance of professional design consultants to create their dream home.
See More
Oklo Appoints New Directors to Accelerate Nuclear Energy Development
- Board Expansion: Oklo has appointed four new directors, including Dr. Mark Peters and David Christian, to enhance the company's capability in executing complex projects in the nuclear and infrastructure sectors, thereby accelerating its positioning in the advanced nuclear energy field.
- Management Restructuring: Oklo is transitioning Chief Technology Officer Pat Schweiger to a senior technical advisor role, aiming to leverage his expertise in fast reactor design to support rapid growth across its business units focused on power, fuel, and isotope production.
- Independent Director Appointment: Michael Thompson has been appointed as Lead Independent Director, expected to provide independent perspectives and strategic guidance to the board, helping Oklo maintain competitiveness in the rapidly growing nuclear energy market.
- Business Unit Development: Oklo is establishing multiple independent business units focused on power, fuel, and isotopes, with plans to achieve more efficient operations and faster market responses in the coming years to meet global demand for clean energy.
See More
Toll Brothers Unveils New Luxury Model Homes at Grand Opening
- Model Home Grand Opening: Toll Brothers will host a grand opening event on April 18 at Ladera Trails in San Tan Valley, Arizona, showcasing two new luxury home designs to attract potential buyers and the public.
- Luxury Design and Space: The new model homes range from 3,124 to 3,692 square feet, offering up to 4 bedrooms and 5 bathrooms, with prices starting in the mid-$800,000s, catering to the high-end market's demand for luxury living.
- Rich Community Amenities: The community features resort-style amenities, including a pool, pickleball courts, and hiking trails, enhancing the living experience and appealing to buyers seeking a high-quality lifestyle.
- Personalized Design Services: The Toll Brothers Design Studio provides a one-stop shopping experience for customers to select home designs according to their preferences, further enhancing the brand's competitive edge in the market.
See More
Toll Brothers Opens New Community in Texas
- Community Launch: Toll Brothers has unveiled its new community, Toll Brothers at Midline, in Webster, Texas, featuring 25 single-family and two-story homes ranging from 3,386 to 4,651 square feet, priced from the upper $600,000s, catering to the luxury market.
- Premium Amenities: Located within the expansive thousand-acre Midline master plan, residents will enjoy exclusive access to upcoming amenities like The Midline Club, which includes a luxurious pool, event lawn, and scenic trails, enhancing the living experience and attracting high-end buyers.
- Strong Educational Resources: Children in the community will attend the highly-rated Clear Creek Independent School District, including P.H. Greene Elementary and Clear Brook High School, further increasing the area's appeal to families looking to purchase homes.
- Personalized Design Services: The Toll Brothers Design Studio offers a one-stop shopping experience for homebuyers, allowing them to choose from a wide array of options with the assistance of professional design consultants, enhancing customer satisfaction and driving sales.
See More
Market Volatility Following US-Iran Ceasefire
- Market Reaction: Following President Trump's announcement of a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, Dow futures fell nearly 500 points, and WTI crude oil prices surged back above $100 per barrel, indicating the market's sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Earnings Highlights: Goldman Sachs reported better-than-expected first-quarter earnings, with stronger investment banking revenues and record equities trading, although fixed-income trading was a blemish; the stock remains high after a 16% rebound from mid-March lows, reflecting market interest in its future deal pipeline.
- Rating Downgrade: Goldman downgraded Best Buy from buy to sell, lowering the price target from $76 to $59, as analysts expressed concerns about the impact of high memory prices on computer sales and ongoing struggles in appliances, which may jeopardize the sustainability of its dividend.
- Sector Upgrade: Goldman upgraded Williams-Sonoma from hold to buy, citing a 14% drop in share price as a good entry point, with analysts optimistic about steady improvements at West Elm and plans for new store openings, indicating confidence in future growth.
See More
Evercore ISI Upgrades Homebuilder Stocks Amid Decline
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Evercore ISI analyst Stephen Kim has raised optimism for the homebuilding sector despite a ~15% decline in builder stocks since the downgrade, indicating a potential market recovery.
- Upgrades Issued: PulteGroup (PHM), Toll Brothers (TOL), and Masco (MAS) have been upgraded to Outperform due to their relative resilience amid current industry challenges, suggesting a strategic advantage.
- Market Signal: Kim highlighted that the homebuilders hit a historic buy signal last week when median small-cap builders traded below 0.80x tangible book value, indicating that much of the negative news has been priced in.
- Interest Rate Expectations: Even as Evercore ISI raised its estimate for the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to 6.25% for FY2026, it reduced earnings estimates for homebuilders, reflecting the ongoing challenges in the market.
See More
