USA Rare Earth Moves Toward Independence from China in Rare Earths
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 22 2026
0mins
Should l Buy USAR?
Source: seekingalpha
- Independence Progress: USA Rare Earth CEO Barbara Humpton stated that the U.S. is in 'the very early innings' of achieving independence in rare earth metals, indicating a strategic shift in the global supply chain aimed at reducing reliance on China.
- Acquisition Boosts Growth: The company announced a $2.8 billion acquisition of Brazil's Serra Verde Group, which owns the only producing rare earth mine in Brazil, significantly enhancing its market position and production capacity, leading to a ~35% surge in stock price over three days.
- Production Expansion Plans: USA Rare Earth plans to initiate mining operations in Texas, establish a separation facility in Colorado, and build a magnet manufacturing plant in Stillwater, Oklahoma, aiming to organically grow the value chain to meet the demand from magnet makers for reliable supply.
- Analysts Bullish Outlook: Canaccord analysts reiterated their Buy rating for USA Rare Earth and raised the stock price target from $29 to $32, noting that the Serra Verde acquisition secures supply to support production expansion at the new Stillwater facility, expected to commence commercial production in 2028.
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Analyst Views on USAR
Wall Street analysts forecast USAR stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 22.030
Low
15.00
Averages
22.75
High
28.00
Current: 22.030
Low
15.00
Averages
22.75
High
28.00
About USAR
USA Rare Earth, Inc. is a supplier of sintered neo magnets and other rare earth metals. The Company is engaged in developing a NdFeB magnet manufacturing plant in Stillwater, Oklahoma, and intends to establish domestic rare earth and critical minerals supply, extraction, and processing capabilities to both supply its magnet manufacturing plant and market surplus materials to third parties. It is focused on developing domestic rare earth production that offers sustainable and secure domestic supply of materials critical to key industries. Its vertically integrated approach consists of sourcing rare earth elements (REEs), in addition to other critical minerals such as gallium, to producing finished NdFeB magnets. The Company serve a variety of industries, such as defense, robotics, electric vehicles, wind power, appliances, cordless tools and computing and semiconductors. The Company owns, Less Common Metals Ltd., which is a scaled ex-China rare earth metal and alloy manufacturer.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
REalloys Expands Rare Earth Supply Chain in North America
- Supply Chain Development: REalloys is expanding the first commercial-scale rare earth metallization facility in North America, expected to be operational by 2027, marking a significant enhancement in U.S. autonomy over rare earth material supply chains and reducing reliance on China.
- Funding Needs and Goals: The project requires an additional $50 million in funding, which REalloys has committed to, aiming for full control over the supply chain from raw materials to finished products, ensuring traceability and supply security.
- Market Opportunities and Strategy: With the impending 2027 ban on Chinese rare earths, REalloys'
See More
USA Rare Earth Acquires Serra Verde Group to Boost Production
- Acquisition Boosts Production: USA Rare Earth's $2.8 billion acquisition of Serra Verde Group grants control over Brazil's Pela Ema mine, projected to produce 6,400 metric tons of rare-earth oxides annually, significantly enhancing its production capabilities and competitive position in the global market.
- Optimistic Financial Outlook: The acquisition is expected to contribute $550 million to $650 million in annualized EBITDA by the end of 2027, with a combined target of $1.8 billion EBITDA by 2030, indicating strong profit potential.
- Supply Chain Risk Mitigation: This acquisition allows USA Rare Earth to reduce reliance on Chinese rare-earth supplies, with the CEO describing it as a “transformational step” that will strengthen the company's position in the rare-earth elements and derivatives market, increasing its attractiveness to investors.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the acquisition announcement, USA Rare Earth’s stock surged 13% in a single day, reflecting market recognition of its future growth potential and investor confidence in the revitalization of the U.S. rare-earth supply chain.
See More
USA Rare Earth Acquires Serra Verde Group to Enhance Rare-Earth Production
- Acquisition Context: USA Rare Earth acquired Serra Verde Group for $2.8 billion to enhance its rare-earth mining and production capabilities, aligning with the U.S. strategy to reduce dependence on China, which controls 90% of rare-earth processing, and is expected to accelerate production timelines.
- Market Reaction: Following the acquisition announcement, USA Rare Earth’s stock surged 13% in a single day, indicating strong market confidence in the deal and the company's future growth potential as it diversifies its supply chain.
- Production Capacity Boost: The acquisition grants USA Rare Earth control over the Pela Ema mine in Brazil, projected to produce approximately 6,400 metric tons of total rare-earth oxide annually, fulfilling the needs of its subsidiary Less Common Metals for high-purity alloys essential for its permanent magnet manufacturing in Oklahoma.
- Financial Outlook: Serra Verde is expected to contribute between $550 million and $650 million in annualized EBITDA by the end of 2027, with the combined company targeting around $1.8 billion in EBITDA by the end of 2030, showcasing robust financial growth prospects.
See More
Bullish Thesis on USA Rare Earth, Inc. Highlights Investment Potential
- Significant Market Position: USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) emerges as the only fully integrated U.S. company capable of producing rare earths from mining to processing to magnets, addressing the critical chokehold China has on 85-90% of global rare earth processing, thereby securing U.S. defense, EV, and semiconductor supply chains.
- Operational Progress: The operational Phase 1a facility at USAR is already delivering products, transitioning the company from a speculative venture to tangible revenue generation, which enhances its attractiveness to investors.
- Strong Financial Position: With $1.2 billion in cash and zero debt, USAR's current stock price of $15.92 is highly appealing, presenting an opportunity for potential stock price doubling as the market recognizes its unique role in domestic rare earth supply and national security.
- Enhanced Strategic Value: As trade tensions escalate, USAR's role as a national security asset becomes increasingly significant, attracting potential government support and accelerating its revenue growth, thereby solidifying its critical position in the U.S. rare earth supply chain.
See More
Latest Wall Street Rating Updates
- Tesla Buy Rating: Bank of America reiterates Tesla as a buy, viewing the company as a leader in consumer autonomy and expecting it to quickly become a leader in robotaxi services, highlighting its strong potential in the future mobility market.
- Nvidia Market Leadership: TD Cowen maintains Nvidia as a buy despite Google's launch of competing AI chips, believing Nvidia remains the market leader in performance and software ecosystem breadth, indicating its sustained competitive advantage in the AI sector.
- Berkshire Target Price Increase: UBS raises Berkshire Hathaway's price target from $578 to $581, noting that the stock is trading at a discount to its intrinsic value and anticipating continued share repurchases, which could influence investor sentiment positively.
- IBM Defensive Investment: Bank of America reiterates IBM as a buy, citing its high exposure to recurring sales and solid balance sheet as factors that make it a defensive investment, demonstrating stability and growth potential in an uncertain market environment.
See More
USA Rare Earth Moves Toward Independence from China in Rare Earths
- Independence Progress: USA Rare Earth CEO Barbara Humpton stated that the U.S. is in 'the very early innings' of achieving independence in rare earth metals, indicating a strategic shift in the global supply chain aimed at reducing reliance on China.
- Acquisition Boosts Growth: The company announced a $2.8 billion acquisition of Brazil's Serra Verde Group, which owns the only producing rare earth mine in Brazil, significantly enhancing its market position and production capacity, leading to a ~35% surge in stock price over three days.
- Production Expansion Plans: USA Rare Earth plans to initiate mining operations in Texas, establish a separation facility in Colorado, and build a magnet manufacturing plant in Stillwater, Oklahoma, aiming to organically grow the value chain to meet the demand from magnet makers for reliable supply.
- Analysts Bullish Outlook: Canaccord analysts reiterated their Buy rating for USA Rare Earth and raised the stock price target from $29 to $32, noting that the Serra Verde acquisition secures supply to support production expansion at the new Stillwater facility, expected to commence commercial production in 2028.
See More
REalloys Expands Rare Earth Supply Chain in North America
- Supply Chain Development: REalloys is expanding the first commercial-scale rare earth metallization facility in North America, expected to be operational by 2027, marking a significant enhancement in U.S. autonomy over rare earth material supply chains and reducing reliance on China.
- Funding Needs and Goals: The project requires an additional $50 million in funding, which REalloys has committed to, aiming for full control over the supply chain from raw materials to finished products, ensuring traceability and supply security.
- Market Opportunities and Strategy: With the impending 2027 ban on Chinese rare earths, REalloys'
See More
USA Rare Earth Acquires Serra Verde Group to Boost Production
- Acquisition Boosts Production: USA Rare Earth's $2.8 billion acquisition of Serra Verde Group grants control over Brazil's Pela Ema mine, projected to produce 6,400 metric tons of rare-earth oxides annually, significantly enhancing its production capabilities and competitive position in the global market.
- Optimistic Financial Outlook: The acquisition is expected to contribute $550 million to $650 million in annualized EBITDA by the end of 2027, with a combined target of $1.8 billion EBITDA by 2030, indicating strong profit potential.
- Supply Chain Risk Mitigation: This acquisition allows USA Rare Earth to reduce reliance on Chinese rare-earth supplies, with the CEO describing it as a “transformational step” that will strengthen the company's position in the rare-earth elements and derivatives market, increasing its attractiveness to investors.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the acquisition announcement, USA Rare Earth’s stock surged 13% in a single day, reflecting market recognition of its future growth potential and investor confidence in the revitalization of the U.S. rare-earth supply chain.
See More
USA Rare Earth Acquires Serra Verde Group to Enhance Rare-Earth Production
- Acquisition Context: USA Rare Earth acquired Serra Verde Group for $2.8 billion to enhance its rare-earth mining and production capabilities, aligning with the U.S. strategy to reduce dependence on China, which controls 90% of rare-earth processing, and is expected to accelerate production timelines.
- Market Reaction: Following the acquisition announcement, USA Rare Earth’s stock surged 13% in a single day, indicating strong market confidence in the deal and the company's future growth potential as it diversifies its supply chain.
- Production Capacity Boost: The acquisition grants USA Rare Earth control over the Pela Ema mine in Brazil, projected to produce approximately 6,400 metric tons of total rare-earth oxide annually, fulfilling the needs of its subsidiary Less Common Metals for high-purity alloys essential for its permanent magnet manufacturing in Oklahoma.
- Financial Outlook: Serra Verde is expected to contribute between $550 million and $650 million in annualized EBITDA by the end of 2027, with the combined company targeting around $1.8 billion in EBITDA by the end of 2030, showcasing robust financial growth prospects.
See More
Bullish Thesis on USA Rare Earth, Inc. Highlights Investment Potential
- Significant Market Position: USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) emerges as the only fully integrated U.S. company capable of producing rare earths from mining to processing to magnets, addressing the critical chokehold China has on 85-90% of global rare earth processing, thereby securing U.S. defense, EV, and semiconductor supply chains.
- Operational Progress: The operational Phase 1a facility at USAR is already delivering products, transitioning the company from a speculative venture to tangible revenue generation, which enhances its attractiveness to investors.
- Strong Financial Position: With $1.2 billion in cash and zero debt, USAR's current stock price of $15.92 is highly appealing, presenting an opportunity for potential stock price doubling as the market recognizes its unique role in domestic rare earth supply and national security.
- Enhanced Strategic Value: As trade tensions escalate, USAR's role as a national security asset becomes increasingly significant, attracting potential government support and accelerating its revenue growth, thereby solidifying its critical position in the U.S. rare earth supply chain.
See More
Latest Wall Street Rating Updates
- Tesla Buy Rating: Bank of America reiterates Tesla as a buy, viewing the company as a leader in consumer autonomy and expecting it to quickly become a leader in robotaxi services, highlighting its strong potential in the future mobility market.
- Nvidia Market Leadership: TD Cowen maintains Nvidia as a buy despite Google's launch of competing AI chips, believing Nvidia remains the market leader in performance and software ecosystem breadth, indicating its sustained competitive advantage in the AI sector.
- Berkshire Target Price Increase: UBS raises Berkshire Hathaway's price target from $578 to $581, noting that the stock is trading at a discount to its intrinsic value and anticipating continued share repurchases, which could influence investor sentiment positively.
- IBM Defensive Investment: Bank of America reiterates IBM as a buy, citing its high exposure to recurring sales and solid balance sheet as factors that make it a defensive investment, demonstrating stability and growth potential in an uncertain market environment.
See More
USA Rare Earth Moves Toward Independence from China in Rare Earths
- Independence Progress: USA Rare Earth CEO Barbara Humpton stated that the U.S. is in 'the very early innings' of achieving independence in rare earth metals, indicating a strategic shift in the global supply chain aimed at reducing reliance on China.
- Acquisition Boosts Growth: The company announced a $2.8 billion acquisition of Brazil's Serra Verde Group, which owns the only producing rare earth mine in Brazil, significantly enhancing its market position and production capacity, leading to a ~35% surge in stock price over three days.
- Production Expansion Plans: USA Rare Earth plans to initiate mining operations in Texas, establish a separation facility in Colorado, and build a magnet manufacturing plant in Stillwater, Oklahoma, aiming to organically grow the value chain to meet the demand from magnet makers for reliable supply.
- Analysts Bullish Outlook: Canaccord analysts reiterated their Buy rating for USA Rare Earth and raised the stock price target from $29 to $32, noting that the Serra Verde acquisition secures supply to support production expansion at the new Stillwater facility, expected to commence commercial production in 2028.
See More
