US Stock Futures Waver After Two-Day Rally: Trump's Tariff Moves Could End A 3-Year 'Rolling Recession,' Says Expert
Market Volatility and Economic Indicators: U.S. stock futures showed mixed results after a two-day advance, with major indices fluctuating. Analysts predict an 82.7% chance that the Federal Reserve will maintain current interest rates in May, while recent tariff discussions by Donald Trump may influence market dynamics.
Sector Performance and Earnings Reports: Technology stocks led gains in the previous session, with notable increases from Apple and Dell. Upcoming earnings reports from companies like Citigroup and Johnson & Johnson are anticipated, alongside economic data releases that could impact market sentiment.
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Bitcoin Price Fluctuations: Bitcoin's price experienced a decline, trading around $66,500 after nearly reaching $70,000, while the overall cryptocurrency market dropped below $2.4 trillion.
Market Impact: Major stocks linked to cryptocurrency, such as Circle and Robinhood, saw significant pre-market declines, with Circle's shares falling over 6% and Robinhood's by about 5.8%.
Retail Sentiment: Retail sentiment around Bitcoin remained bullish despite the price drop, while sentiment for other digital asset platforms like Hood and Core Scientific was bearish.
Geopolitical Tensions: The U.S. military's ongoing conflict with Iran has contributed to market volatility, with President Trump indicating the conflict could last longer than initially expected.
Damage to Iran's Nuclear Facility: The International Atomic Energy Agency confirmed that Iran's Natanz nuclear enrichment facility has sustained damage following recent strikes by the United States and Israel.
UN Monitoring: The United Nations nuclear watchdog reported that the entrance buildings of Iran's underground Natanz Fuel Enrichment Plant have experienced some damage, but no additional impacts were detected at the facility itself.
US Preparedness: President Donald Trump stated that the U.S. is prepared to take whatever actions necessary to achieve its objectives regarding Iran.
Ongoing Developments: The situation continues to evolve, with updates available through various news channels and platforms.

Impact of Iran Conflict on Oil Prices: Former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen indicated that the ongoing conflict in Iran could lead to elevated oil prices, affecting both U.S. economic growth and inflationary pressures.
Federal Reserve's Response to Inflation: Yellen noted that the situation may complicate the Federal Reserve's efforts, making them more hesitant to cut interest rates due to rising inflation concerns.
Market Reactions: U.S. equities showed mixed results, with the S&P 500 ETF slightly up, while other indices experienced minor fluctuations, reflecting investor sentiment amid the geopolitical tensions.
Inflation Concerns: Inflation remains a significant topic in the market, with Federal Reserve officials expressing worries and suggesting potential interest rate increases to combat rising inflation rates.

U.S. Mission in Iran: President Donald Trump reaffirmed the U.S. commitment to its mission in Iran, emphasizing the need to continue operations in memory of fallen troops and to combat the threats posed by the Iranian regime.
Military Strength: Trump highlighted that the U.S. possesses the strongest military in the world, capable of extending its operations beyond the initially projected timeline of five weeks for the Iran mission.
Market Reactions: On the day of Trump's statements, U.S. equities showed mixed results, with the S&P 500 ETF slightly down, while other ETFs experienced minor gains and losses.
Retail Sentiment: Retail sentiment around the S&P 500 ETF was noted to be in a "bullish" territory, indicating a generally positive outlook among investors despite the mixed market performance.

Oil Price Predictions: Analysts from J.P. Morgan and UBS suggest that while current crude oil prices may rise due to geopolitical tensions, any significant increases could be temporary due to excess supply. They warn that a U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict could push prices to $100 or even $140 per barrel in worst-case scenarios.
Investment Opportunities: Amidst the volatility in oil prices, J.P. Morgan's analyst recommends that investors consider buying into market dips, viewing the current geopolitical tensions as a potential opportunity for investment rather than a long-term risk.
Market Reactions: U.S. equities experienced declines, with major ETFs tracking the S&P 500 and other indices showing negative performance. Retail sentiment around the S&P 500 ETF remains bullish despite these declines.
Geopolitical Context: The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is expected to create temporary disruptions in oil supply, but analysts believe that the fundamental need for oil infrastructure will remain intact, leading to a potential refocus on positive global economic fundamentals in the future.






