U.S. Stock Futures Modestly Higher, Tech Stocks Rebound
Stock futures are modestly higher this morning, with tech attempting to rebound after weakness in semiconductors and AI names earlier in the week. The main focus today is not whether rates move, as markets broadly expect rates to stay unchanged, but rather the tone of the Fed statement and new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference. Investors are looking for clues on whether policy remains biased toward eventual easing or whether sticky inflation and energy-related concerns push the Fed toward a more cautious stance. Hopes surrounding a U.S.-Iran agreement have pressured oil prices lower from recent highs, easing some inflation concerns and helping sentiment recover after recent volatility.In pre-market trading, S&P 500 futures rose 0.10%, Nasdaq futures rose 0.57% and Dow futures fell 0.01%.Check out this morning's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER -Aehr Test Systemsup 8% after announcing follow-on production order for a wafer-level burn-in systemAST SpaceMobileup 7% after launching three new satellites into orbitGenco Shippingand Dianna Shippingup 5% and 1%, respectively, after Dianna issued an increased buyout proposal to GencoFigmaup 3% after Citi initiated coverage of the stock with a Buy rating and $36 price targetUP AFTER EARNINGS -La-Z-Boyup 17%Jabilup 6%CarMaxup 1%LOWER -Lionsgate Studiosdown 7% after a report pushed back on the idea that Netflixwas interested in buying the company
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- Failed Acquisition: Adobe's $20 billion acquisition of Figma fell through due to regulatory scrutiny, leading to an 84% drop in Figma's stock since its IPO, resulting in significant losses for investors who anticipated gains.
- Valuation Risks: Figma's initial valuation was at 60 times sales, but fears surrounding AI threats triggered a sell-off in software stocks, revealing the vulnerability of high valuations in turbulent markets.
- Strong Sales Growth: Despite challenges, Figma reported a 46% year-over-year sales increase in Q1 2026, reaching $333.4 million, with a net revenue retention rate rising to 139%, indicating robust user demand for its products.
- Valuation Normalization: Figma's valuation has decreased from 60 times sales to just over 8 times, suggesting a return to rational market expectations, and if the company maintains its growth momentum, it could see a rebound in investment returns.
- SpaceX Stock Fluctuation: After soaring nearly 50% post-IPO, SpaceX's stock dropped over 3% on Wednesday, reflecting short-term volatility around its $135 per share IPO price, which may impact investor confidence.
- Strong Bank Performance: The Invesco KBW Bank ETF reached an all-time high, with JPMorgan, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs hitting new intraday records, indicating a bull market expansion into previously lagging bank stocks, potentially signaling a recovery in the financial sector.
- CarMax Earnings Beat: CarMax reported first-quarter earnings of $1.31 per share, exceeding analysts' expectations of $0.95, although the stock fell 7%, it remains up 31% over the past month, indicating market confidence in its long-term growth.
- Aehr Test Systems New Order: Aehr Test Systems announced a follow-on production order from a major customer, leading to a 12% stock increase, with the fully automated wafer-level burn-in system scheduled for delivery in six months, potentially driving future revenue growth.
- Rating and Price Target: Citi has initiated coverage on Figma with a Buy/High-risk rating and a price target of $36, reflecting confidence in its growth potential and likely attracting more investor interest.
- Market Reaction: Figma's shares rose approximately 3% in premarket trading on Wednesday, indicating a positive market response to Citi's rating, which may further enhance its market share in the digital design sector.
- Growth Drivers: Analysts noted that while AI-driven tools raise concerns about seat compression, the market underestimates the growth potential from seat mix upgrades and the expansion of non-designer personas, which are expected to drive revenue growth for Figma.
- Future Catalysts: Analysts anticipate several catalysts for Figma ahead, including the upcoming Config conference and additional monetization opportunities from new product launches and MCP server monetization, although these are offset by the impending lock-up expiry.
- Strong Demand for AI Tools: Citi's industry checks reveal robust demand for Figma's AI-powered design tools, with customers upgrading user seats and increasing AI credit consumption, indicating a growing market acceptance that could drive revenue growth.
- Optimistic Price Target: Citi initiated coverage of Figma with a 'Buy' rating and a price target of $36, implying a 100% upside from Tuesday's closing price, reflecting analysts' strong confidence in the company's future performance.
- Launch of Innovative Design Assistant: The recent introduction of Figma's AI assistant allows users to generate and edit designs directly within existing files, enhancing user experience and efficiency, which is expected to attract more users and increase customer loyalty.
- Earnings Beat Expectations: Figma's Q1 earnings report showed an EPS of $0.1 and revenue of $334 million, both exceeding Wall Street expectations, indicating the company's strengthening competitive position in the market and further bolstering investor confidence.
- GE Vernova Rating: Bernstein initiates GE Vernova as outperform, citing the potential for U.S. natural gas to displace coal globally, thereby reducing electricity costs and providing reliable power, which could drive the stock price higher.
- NeoVolta Buy Rating: Needham initiates coverage on NeoVolta with a Buy rating and an $8 price target, indicating significant upside potential for the battery company, reflecting strong market demand for its products.
- Nvidia Outlook: Bernstein reiterates Nvidia as outperform, emphasizing the enormous and still early data center market opportunity, suggesting that the company's leadership in technology will continue to drive stock price growth.
- Allegiant Acquisition Boost: Goldman Sachs reinstates Allegiant as a Buy with a $125 price target, believing that the acquisition of Sun Country will provide incremental profitable growth opportunities, enhancing the company's competitive position in the market.
- Fed Meeting Outlook: Ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, the market widely expects rates to remain unchanged, yet Chairman Kevin Warsh's comments could significantly influence market sentiment and investor decisions, potentially leading to increased volatility.
- Semiconductor Sector Prospects: Citi has raised price targets for Applied Materials, Lam Research, and KLA Corp, forecasting that spending on wafer fabrication equipment could reach $250 billion by 2028, indicating a 25% growth potential that presents substantial market opportunities for these companies.
- Intel's Process Advancement: Intel has commenced production of its latest 18A-P manufacturing process, which delivers 9% higher performance or 18% lower power consumption compared to its predecessor, potentially securing Apple as a foundry customer and strengthening its market position.
- FedEx Earnings Outlook: Although Wells Fargo lowered FedEx's price target, analysts anticipate that next quarter's earnings report may be noisy due to fiscal calendar adjustments, yet they expect strong actual results that could offset the complex outlook.









