US Accelerates Critical Minerals Policy Transformation
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 19 2026
0mins
Should l Buy HL?
Source: Globenewswire
- Policy Shift and Capital Injection: The US has initiated Project Vault, a landmark public-private initiative backed by a $10 billion Export-Import Bank loan and $2 billion in private capital, aimed at establishing a strategic reserve of 60 critical minerals, which is expected to significantly enhance the stability of domestic critical mineral supply chains.
- Surge in Silver Investment: Physical silver investment is forecasted to increase by 20% in 2026, reaching a three-year high of 227 million ounces, despite the market facing its sixth consecutive annual supply deficit, positioning mining companies like GoldHaven and Almonty Industries to benefit.
- Copper Price Historical High: In January 2026, copper prices on the London Metal Exchange hit $13,238 per tonne, a historical high, with Citigroup projecting prices could approach $15,000 per tonne if supply shortages persist, which would enhance profitability for related mining firms.
- GoldHaven Financing Plan: GoldHaven Resources announced a $2 million critical mineral financing plan, intending to issue 7,547,170 flow-through shares to advance its Magno polymetallic project in British Columbia, with proceeds expected to fund drilling and geological modeling through 2026.
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Analyst Views on HL
Wall Street analysts forecast HL stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 17.610
Low
16.00
Averages
23.93
High
36.50
Current: 17.610
Low
16.00
Averages
23.93
High
36.50
About HL
Hecla Mining Company is a silver producer in the United States and Canada. The Company discovers, acquires and develops mines and other mineral interests and produces and markets concentrates containing silver, gold, lead, zinc and copper; carbon material containing silver and gold, and unrefined dore containing silver and gold. The Company's segments include Greens Creek, Lucky Friday, Keno Hill and Casa Berardi. The Greens Creek operation is located on Admiralty Island, near Juneau, Alaska. The Greens Creek ore body contains silver, zinc, gold and lead. The Lucky Friday mine is a deep underground silver, lead, and zinc mine located in the Coeur d’Alene Mining District in northern Idaho. The Casa Berardi mine is an underground/open-pit gold mine located in western Quebec. It owns 100% of the Keno Hill Silver Project, which is located within the Keno Hill Silver District in Canada’s Yukon Territory. The Company also owns a number of exploration and pre-development projects.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Price Volatility: Hecla Mining's stock price dropped by 12% over the past five days, reflecting its high sensitivity to silver price fluctuations, indicating that mining companies can suffer significant declines when precious metal prices fall.
- War Impact: The ongoing conflict with Iran has led to sharp increases in oil prices, contributing to rising U.S. inflation, which in turn raises the cost of purchasing precious metals like gold and silver priced in dollars, thereby dampening investor demand.
- Rising Interest Rate Pressure: As interest rates rise, investors are more inclined to purchase interest-bearing assets like U.S. government bonds, making non-yielding precious metal investments less attractive, further exacerbating downward pressure on Hecla Mining's stock price.
- Uncertain Market Outlook: Although Hecla Mining excels in extracting silver and gold, the current market environment's uncertainty limits its future upside potential, leading analysts to recommend selling the stock to mitigate risk.
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- Stock Price Decline: Hecla Mining (NYSE: HL) experienced a significant 12% drop in its stock price over the past week, highlighting its vulnerability to fluctuations in precious metal prices amid increasing global economic uncertainty.
- War Impact: The ongoing conflict with Iran has led to sharp increases in oil prices, contributing to rising U.S. inflation, which in turn raises the cost of purchasing dollar-denominated precious metals like gold and silver, further pressuring Hecla's stock performance.
- Changing Investment Appeal: As interest rates rise, investors are increasingly attracted to interest-bearing assets like U.S. government bonds, which diminishes the appeal of precious metals that do not yield interest, prompting potential sell-offs of Hecla Mining shares to mitigate risk.
- Uncertain Market Outlook: Although Hecla Mining excels in extracting silver and other precious metals, the current uncertain market environment has led analysts to believe that the stock faces more downside risks in the short term, advising investors to proceed with caution.
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- Rate Policy Impact: The Federal Reserve's decision to keep the benchmark interest rate steady on March 18, signaling potential rate cuts delayed until 2027, has created a double whammy for metals and mining stocks amid persistent inflation and surging oil prices.
- Metal Price Decline: Traditionally, war boosts demand for precious metals like gold and silver; however, due to the U.S. dollar and bonds being favored as safe-haven assets, metal prices are declining, putting significant pressure on major mining stocks.
- Major Mining Companies Struggle: Shares of Newmont, the world's largest gold miner, fell 13.5% this week and over 25% since the Iran war began; Barrick and Hecla also faced steep declines, with Hecla's stock plunging over 50% from its late-January high.
- Industry Outlook Analysis: The metals and mining sector is grappling with high interest rates, soaring energy costs, and fears of an economic slowdown, creating substantial challenges, although companies like Newmont and Barrick show strong cash flow and asset management capabilities amidst the overall market gloom.
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- Metal Stocks Plummet: Amid surging oil prices due to the Iran war, metal prices have significantly dropped, with Newmont's shares falling 13.5% this week and over 25% since the conflict began, reflecting market concerns over metal demand.
- Rising Operational Costs: Brent crude oil prices have surged more than 50% since the Iran war, leading to skyrocketing operational costs for mining companies, resulting in significant stock declines for major players like Barrick and Hecla, with Hecla's stock down over 50% from its January peak.
- Market Environment Challenges: The metals and mining sector is under immense pressure from high interest rates, rising energy costs, and a stronger dollar, prompting companies like Newmont and Barrick to focus on debt reduction and asset restructuring to maintain financial stability.
- Investor Confidence Tested: Despite increased market volatility, companies like BHP demonstrate resilience with strong cash flows and high margins, suggesting that investors should maintain confidence in fundamental demand to navigate short-term market fluctuations.
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- Price Fluctuation Analysis: The SILJ ETF has a 52-week low of $10.01 and a high of $41.10, with the latest trade at $26.50, indicating significant volatility and shifts in investor sentiment within the market.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with valuable insights for technical analysis, aiding in understanding market trends and potential buy or sell opportunities.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade similarly to stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, impacting the liquidity and market performance of the ETF.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding helps identify ETFs experiencing notable inflows or outflows, allowing investors to capture market dynamics and potential investment opportunities in a timely manner.
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- Return Volatility: The Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ) achieved a remarkable 184% return in 2025, yet it plummeted 11% in just one week in March 2026 due to falling silver prices, highlighting the high volatility and risk associated with its returns.
- Top Holdings Performance: During the same week, SILJ's major holdings saw significant declines, with First Majestic Silver (AG) down 19%, Coeur Mining (CDE) down 10%, and Hecla Mining (HL) down 11%, collectively representing nearly a third of the fund, which severely impacted SILJ's performance.
- Structural Risks: Most silver is extracted as a byproduct of copper, lead, and zinc mining, meaning that SILJ's holdings are not primarily silver producers; thus, when silver prices rise, miners may fail to deliver the expected silver leverage, and conversely, they underperform when silver prices fall.
- Market Volatility Impact: With the VIX index reaching 23.5 in March 2026, up 14% from the previous month, elevated market volatility tends to compress risk appetite for speculative small-cap miners, leading to increased volatility in SILJ, necessitating cautious investor strategies in response to market fluctuations.
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