Trump Administration Will Not Renew USMCA
Catch up on the top industries and stocks that were impacted, or were predicted to be impacted, by the comments, actions and policies of President Donald Trump with this daily recap compiled by The Fly.USMCA:The Trump administration said it does not plan to renew the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement on trade, NBC News' Steve Kopack. Instead of renewing the pact, the U.S. intends to begin a decade of talks on amendments to it, the author says, citing a senior Trump administration official.TRUMP ACCOUNTS:The U.S. Treasury announced that two BlackRockiShares exchange traded funds will be offered among the investment options available under Trump Accounts, a federal initiative designed to enable a generation of American children to begin building wealth from birth. "BlackRock is proud to support Trump Accounts. For generations, U.S. capital markets have been a powerful engine of growth and wealth creation," said Larry Fink, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of BlackRock. "By giving younger Americans the opportunity to start investing earlier, Trump Accounts can help millions build long-term financial security, develop a greater stake in the future of the country, and share more directly in the growth and prosperity of the United States." BlackRock's iShares Core S&P 500 ETF and iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF offer diversified exposure to many of America's companies and the long-term growth potential of the U.S. economy, the Treasury said.Meanwhile, the Trump administration has discussed with SpaceXthe possibility of donating stock to children's "Trump Accounts," a move that could deepen the renewed relationship between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, although no contribution or structure has been finalized, Semafor's Eleanor Mueller and Liz Hoffman. It's unclear whether Musk has agreed to contribute any SpaceX stock to Trump Accounts.CHINESE CHIPS:Appleis in negotiations to purchase chips from two Chinese semiconductor makers, ChangXin Memory Technologies and Yangtze Memory Technologies, that are on a Pentagon blacklist in an attempt to reduce the impact of a global memory shortage, Mark Gurman and Maggie Eastland of Bloomberg report, citing people familiar with the matter. Apple CEO Tim Cook reached out to Trump administration officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, to help soften the political fallout from any possible deal with the Chinese chipmakers, sources told Bloomberg. Apple doesn't need formal U.S. approval to buy chips from the two companies, but would risk blowback from national security officials should it do so, Bloomberg adds.
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- Earnings Release Date: BlackRock is set to report its Q2 2023 earnings on July 15, with significant market attention expected, which could impact its stock price.
- Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast an EPS of $12.55, indicating strong performance in asset management, which may bolster investor confidence.
- Revenue Projections: The anticipated revenue of $6.63 billion for Q2 reflects BlackRock's robust growth in the market, potentially attracting more investor interest in its stock.
- Stock Performance: As of July 8, BlackRock's stock closed at $995.73, nearing the $1,000 mark, and if the earnings report exceeds expectations, it could further drive the stock price upward.
- New ETF Launch: BlackRock has announced the launch of the iShares Nasdaq-100 ETF (IQQ), designed to provide investors with cost-effective access to innovative companies across sectors such as technology and healthcare, with an initial NAV of $24 per share and expected trading to begin on July 9, enhancing investor flexibility.
- Expense Ratio Advantage: The ETF features a gross expense ratio of 0.12%, which is reduced to 0.10% through a waiver until July 31, 2027, allowing investors to benefit from lower costs over the long term, thereby enhancing potential investment returns.
- Strong Market Demand: This year has seen record demand for U.S. large-cap and technology stocks, attracting over $270 billion in net inflows year-to-date, indicating strong investor interest in innovation-driven companies and further propelling the expansion of iShares products in the market.
- Global Asset Management Strength: With two decades of experience managing Nasdaq-100 investment products globally and over $6 trillion in iShares assets, BlackRock's new ETF launch will further solidify its market leadership and meet investors' needs for diversified portfolios.
- Investment Preference: BlackRock Investment Institute maintains a neutral stance on Chinese stocks while staying overweight on U.S. equities, indicating a belief that U.S. companies will dominate the AI race, reflecting confidence in the U.S. market.
- Market Performance Comparison: While the Nasdaq Composite has gained over 12% this year, China's ChiNext index has surged more than 20%, indicating strong short-term performance of Chinese tech stocks; however, the overall MSCI China index has fallen over 10%, reflecting market uncertainty.
- Policy Support and Challenges: Beijing has rolled out policies to support domestic AI development amid U.S. restrictions on high-end technology, yet the unclear profitability of companies in the context of slower economic growth and fierce competition highlights market complexities.
- Investment Opportunities: BlackRock analysts see potential in physical AI, emphasizing the integration of AI technology into hardware, while recommending stocks exposed to scarce industry inputs, showcasing a focus on infrastructure investments.
- Launch of New Stablecoin: A coalition of over 140 financial, tech, and retail giants, including Visa, Mastercard, and Coinbase, has backed the new stablecoin Open USD (OUSD), which poses a direct threat to Circle's USD Coin (USDC), causing Circle's stock to drop by 7.21%.
- Revenue Model Disruption: OUSD challenges Circle's traditional revenue model, which relies on cash and U.S. Treasury holdings, by sharing reserve income with ecosystem partners, potentially leading to a significant decline in Circle's market share and revenue.
- Decentralized Governance Advantage: Unlike USDC, which is managed solely by Circle, OUSD is governed by an independent board, making it more appealing to companies that prefer not to be controlled by a single entity, which could accelerate the loss of USDC users.
- Critical Role of Coinbase: Coinbase's partnership with OUSD raises concerns as it may not renew its revenue-sharing agreement with Circle, further weakening Circle's income sources, prompting investors to closely monitor its future performance.
- New Stablecoin Launch: A coalition of over 140 financial, tech, and retail giants, including Visa, Mastercard, and BlackRock, has launched the OUSD stablecoin, aiming to challenge Circle's USDC by offering shared yields and zero-cost minting, which could significantly impact USDC's market share.
- Decentralized Governance Advantage: Unlike USDC, which is solely managed by Circle, OUSD is governed by an independent board of partners, appealing to companies that prefer not to be dominated by a single entity, potentially reshaping the stablecoin market landscape.
- Potential Revenue Sharing Risk: Coinbase's partnership with OUSD raises concerns as it may choose not to renew its revenue-sharing agreement with Circle after August 18, which could lead to a substantial decline in Circle's revenue and further impact its stock performance.
- Market Expectations and Valuation Pressure: Analysts project Circle's revenue to nearly double from 2025 to 2028, but the introduction of OUSD may force them to lower growth expectations for Circle, making its current valuation appear overstretched, prompting investors to carefully assess their timing for investment.
- Strategic Customer Agreement: On July 1, Micron Technology and General Motors signed a Strategic Customer Agreement to ensure a stable, long-term supply of memory and storage solutions essential for GM's large-scale vehicle manufacturing and delivery, enhancing collaboration in automotive and semiconductor supply chains.
- Deepening Technical Collaboration: The agreement not only secures dedicated supply but also involves joint development of future storage and memory technologies necessary for next-generation vehicles, covering system optimization and validation of cutting-edge memory technologies to promote U.S. production and innovation.
- Capital Investment Assurance: Micron's $2 billion investment to upgrade its Manassas, Virginia facility enhances supply guarantees and ensures undistorted product availability, addressing the growing demand for advanced storage and memory in AI-driven vehicles.
- Future Technology Validation: As vehicles transition to AI-led and software-based systems, GM will ensure the provision of certain products while validating future technologies, emphasizing the importance of storage and memory efficiency, scalability, and robustness for advanced features.











