Should You Buy BlackRock Inc (BLK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
1121.670
1 Day change
1.35%
52 Week Range
1219.940
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
HOLD (not a good buy right now). BlackRock is a high-quality long-term compounder, but the current setup shows near-term downside risk: bearish options sentiment (heavy put volume and elevated put/call), negative/weakening momentum (MACD histogram below zero and expanding), price sitting below the pivot and closer to support, and a sharp increase in insider selling. For a beginner long-term investor who is impatient and wants to buy immediately, BLK is better treated as a wait/hold today rather than an aggressive buy at this price.
Technical Analysis
Trend is broadly bullish on longer-term structure but weakening in the near term. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), which supports the long-term uptrend. However, momentum is currently soft: MACD histogram is -1.52 and negatively expanding, implying downside momentum is building. RSI_6 at 42.16 is neutral-to-weak (not oversold), suggesting there may still be room for further downside before a higher-probability bounce. Price (1103.44) is below the pivot (1125.664), with nearby support at S1 1083.281 (then S2 1057.097). Upside resistance levels are 1168.047 (R1) and 1194.231 (R2). Pattern-based stats also lean weak near term (-4.89% next week expectation) despite a more constructive 1-month view (+4.5%).
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options sentiment is decisively defensive/bearish. Put open interest exceeds calls (OI put/call 1.58), and put volume is extremely elevated versus call volume (volume put/call 5.04) with total option volume far above normal (today vs 30-day avg ~403.83%). Implied volatility is elevated (30D IV ~29.99; IV percentile 91.2), indicating traders are paying up for protection or speculating on a larger move. Net takeaway: options positioning is leaning toward near-term downside/hedging rather than bullish risk-taking.
Technical Summary
Sell
3
Buy
8
Positive Catalysts
1) Analyst sentiment has improved post-Q4 with multiple price target hikes and several Buy/Overweight/Outperform reiterations, signaling Wall Street confidence in long-term earnings power and fee growth momentum. 2) Revenue growth strength in the latest quarter (2025/Q4 revenue +23.18% YoY) supports the business durability narrative. 3) Event-driven: market chatter that BlackRock's Rick Rieder is a frontrunner for Fed Chair could keep BLK in the spotlight and can be sentiment-positive if perceived as policy/market-friendly.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
1) Heavy insider selling (selling amount up ~4027% over the last month) is a meaningful confidence overhang. 2) Despite revenue growth, profitability deteriorated sharply in 2025/Q4 (net income -32.51% YoY, EPS -36.00% YoY), which can pressure the stock if margins/expenses remain an issue. 3) News tone includes higher volatility and reduced bond diversification benefits (debt/inflation dynamics), which can weigh on risk appetite and AUM-sensitive asset managers. 4) Options market is positioned defensively (very high put volume), implying traders are bracing for near-term weakness.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4. Revenue rose to $5.744B (+23.18% YoY), showing strong top-line momentum. However, net income fell to $1.127B (-32.51% YoY) and EPS dropped to $6.81 (-36.00% YoY), indicating that costs, mix, or one-time items pressured profitability despite better revenues. The key growth trend is: strong revenue/fees backdrop, but earnings quality/margins are the current concern investors will focus on.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: predominantly positive. Since mid-January, several firms raised price targets and reiterated bullish stances (Barclays Overweight to $1,350; Deutsche Bank Buy to $1,380; BofA Buy to $1,467; Keefe Bruyette Outperform to $1,340; Freedom Capital upgraded to Buy with PT $1,364). UBS stayed Neutral though raised PT to $1,280. Wall Street pros: diversified scale, strong organic fee growth, solid momentum entering 2026, and earnings power. Cons: some prior concern around flows and near-term earnings pressure/margins (reflected in EPS decline), which is why a few ratings remain more cautious (e.g., Neutral/Market Perform historically).
Wall Street analysts forecast BLK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BLK is 1336 USD with a low forecast of 1218 USD and a high forecast of 1514 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BLK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BLK is 1336 USD with a low forecast of 1218 USD and a high forecast of 1514 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1106.690
Low
1218
Averages
1336
High
1514
Current: 1106.690
Low
1218
Averages
1336
High
1514
Freedom Capital
Mikhail Paramonov
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
AI Analysis
2026-01-23
Reason
Freedom Capital
Mikhail Paramonov
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-01-23
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Freedom Capital analyst Mikhail Paramonov upgraded BlackRock to Buy from Hold with a price target of $1,364, up from $1,255. The firm says the company's Q4 report reinforces its long-term earnings power. BlackRock's revenue growth was driven by strength across base fees, performance fees, and technology services, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Raymond James
Brian Vaccaro
Outperform
downgrade
$28 -> $26
2026-01-21
Reason
Raymond James
Brian Vaccaro
Price Target
$28 -> $26
2026-01-21
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Raymond James analyst Brian Vaccaro lowered the firm's price target on Black Rock Coffee to $26 from $28 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Restaurant stocks have sharply outperformed year to date on a January comp rebound, optimism around an easier first-half setup, and significant short covering, despite expectations for mixed Q4 results due to softer demand, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Focus is shifting to early-2026 trends and guidance, with potential support from higher tax refunds and stable employment, balanced by uncertainties around GLP-1 usage, weather effects, and broader macro volatility, the firm says.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for BLK
