Trillion-Dollar Stocks Outlook on Wall Street
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 12 2026
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Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- AI-Driven Growth Potential: Analysts project Nvidia's stock price to reach $352 by 2026, representing a 90% increase from its February 6 closing price, reflecting its dominant position in AI data centers and robust market demand, further solidifying its competitive edge in the industry.
- Strong Advertising Performance: Among analysts covering Meta Platforms, Rosenblatt's Barton Crockett has set a price target of $1,144, indicating a 73% upside, driven by its massive base of 3.58 billion daily active users and strong advertising revenue, despite aggressive spending on AI infrastructure not impacting core operations.
- Long-Term Cloud Opportunities: Microsoft analysts, including DBS Bank's Sachin Mittal, have set a price target of $678, representing a 69% potential upside, primarily due to Azure's 38% growth rate and strong cash flow, enabling continued investment in AI and cloud computing.
- Market Competition and Risks: While trillion-dollar stocks show strong growth potential, Nvidia faces competitive risks from other members of the
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 187.980
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 187.980
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Potential Analysis: Oppenheimer anticipates Nvidia's Q4 sales could see a typical upside of $2B to $3B, primarily driven by the GB300 Ultra, indicating strong performance in the AI sector.
- Growing Market Demand: Expected capital expenditures from cloud service providers are projected to reach $650B in 2026, up from over $400B in 2025, reflecting sustained demand for Nvidia's products.
- New Product Outlook: The average selling price for Vera Rubin is expected to be 40% to 50% higher than that of GB300, potentially adding around $8B in revenue for Nvidia, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Market Size Expansion: With China now included, Nvidia's total addressable market is estimated to be around $4T, showcasing its dominant position in the global AI platform and future growth potential.
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- Weak Market Performance: Since August 2025, Nvidia's stock has only risen by 5%, significantly lagging behind the S&P 500's 10% gain, indicating market caution regarding its future growth despite optimistic prospects in the AI sector.
- Surge in Capital Expenditures: Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta expect to spend at least $500 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, positioning Nvidia as a primary beneficiary; if it maintains its market share, it could see substantial revenue growth, with global data center capital expenditures projected to reach $3 trillion to $4 trillion by 2030.
- China Market Resumption: Nvidia has regained the ability to export GPUs to China, re-entering the world's second-largest AI market; although the stock has not significantly reacted to this positive development, it provides new momentum for future growth.
- Attractive Valuation: With a forward P/E ratio of less than 24, Nvidia's stock appears cheap compared to the S&P 500's 21.9, suggesting that investors should consider buying during this pullback, especially with upcoming spending increases on the horizon.
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- Market Milestones: The S&P 500 recently hit the 7,000 mark but failed to close above it, indicating market fragility at high levels, which could affect investor confidence and lead to short-term volatility.
- Sector Leadership Shift: In 2026, sectors like energy, materials, and staples have shown impressive gains of 22.5%, 16.9%, and 13.3%, respectively, but these sectors typically lead near market tops, suggesting current leadership may lack sustainability.
- Healthcare Sector Recovery: The healthcare ETF (XLV) is up only 1.9% year-to-date, yet major components like Merck, Johnson & Johnson, and Amgen are trading near 52-week highs, indicating potential upside and positioning it as a likely next market leader.
- Investment Strategy Adjustment: Investors should focus on the healthcare sector's technical breakout, particularly the crucial $160 level; if cleared, upside targets could reach the mid-180s, signaling increasing investment opportunities in the healthcare sector within the current market environment.
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- Stock Disclosure: Congressman Daniel Meuser (R-Pa.) disclosed his first trades for 2026, selling Nvidia stock worth $1,000 to $15,000 on January 14 and January 30, indicating a cautious approach as he made no new purchases in the previous year.
- Trading History Analysis: Meuser has sold Nvidia stock annually since 2022, totaling over $1 million in sales over the past four years, despite Nvidia's stock price increasing by over 1,150% in the last five years, suggesting he may have missed significant profit opportunities.
- Potential Violation Risks: The congressman’s disclosures for 2025 show only sales with no reported purchases, raising concerns about potential violations of the STOCK Act and scrutiny over his trading compliance.
- Spousal Trading Impact: The latest trades were disclosed as being made by Meuser's spouse, implying he may not have been aware of the Nvidia stock sales, which further raises questions about the transparency of his trading activities.
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- Growing AI Demand: India's AI infrastructure buildout is accelerating, with Tata Group and Tata Consultancy Services collaborating on a project to scale up to one gigawatt, which will drive demand for chipmakers, particularly AMD.
- Local Production Considerations: Super Micro Computer Inc. is weighing options to increase local production in India to meet the expanding AI market, with Managing Director Vik Malyala stating that the company is engaging closely with Indian customers to understand buyer requirements and is adding local staff to support deployments.
- Intensifying Competition: As companies like NVIDIA expand partnerships and infrastructure in India, AMD faces an increasingly competitive landscape, where early design wins and ecosystem relationships will significantly influence long-term chip adoption.
- Supply Chain Pressures: The AI infrastructure buildout is colliding with ongoing supply constraints and allocation concerns in the accelerator market, necessitating AMD to secure long-term memory supply to address the expanding global AI demand.
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- Expansion in India: Super Micro Computer is weighing options to increase local production in India, aligning with government policies and customer demand for AI infrastructure, indicating the company's commitment to capturing growth opportunities in the region.
- Customer Insights: The management is engaging with Indian customers to map out diverse buyer needs, particularly as AI adoption accelerates, which will help the company tailor its products and services effectively.
- Technology Showcase: At an AI-focused event, Supermicro showcased high-performance platforms built around the latest Nvidia and AMD components, emphasizing the advantages of its Data Center Building Block Solutions in speeding installation and managing energy requirements, demonstrating its technological capabilities.
- Stock Performance: Despite a significant earnings beat in Q2, Supermicro's stock remains near 52-week lows, reflecting market concerns over technical weaknesses, with 20.21% of its float being shorted, indicating a cautious investor sentiment.
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