The Metals Company (TMC) Seeks Commercial Recovery Permit, Stock Up 17%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2d ago
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Source: Fool
- Stock Performance: The Metals Company (TMC) saw a 17% increase in stock price as of January 8, 2026, following a remarkable 450% surge in 2025, indicating strong market confidence in its commercial potential.
- Permit Application: In April 2025, TMC announced its application for a commercial recovery permit under U.S. law, marking a potential pathway for polymetallic nodule mining that could accelerate its commercial ambitions.
- Project Valuation: Two assessments of the company's exploration area indicate a combined project value of $23.6 billion, with capital expenditures of $113 million, suggesting the market remains cautious about the likelihood of commercial production.
- Future Potential: If TMC's market valuation were to align with its project value, this could imply a 700% upside in stock price; while achieving this remains uncertain, successful deep-sea mining could lead to long-term supply contracts, significantly enhancing its market position.
Analyst Views on TMC
Wall Street analysts forecast TMC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TMC is 8.33 USD with a low forecast of 6.50 USD and a high forecast of 11.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 7.000
Low
6.50
Averages
8.33
High
11.00
Current: 7.000
Low
6.50
Averages
8.33
High
11.00
About TMC
TMC the metals company Inc. is a deep-sea minerals exploration company. The Company is focused on the collection and processing of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor in international waters of the Clarion Clipperton Zone in the Pacific Ocean (CCZ), located approximately 1,300 nautical miles southwest of San Diego, California. The CCZ is a geological submarine fracture zone of abyssal plains and other formations in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, with a length of around 4,500 miles that spans approximately 1,737,000 square miles. These nodules contain high grades of four metals (nickel, copper, cobalt, manganese) which can be used as feedstock for battery cathode precursors (nickel, cobalt and manganese sulfates, or intermediate nickel-copper-cobalt matte) for electric vehicles (EV) and energy storage markets; copper cathode for EV wiring, energy transmission and other applications, and manganese silicate for manganese alloy production required for steel production.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.





